Abernathy, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

363
FXUS64 KLUB 102315
AFDLUB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
615 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 613 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Warm and dry to end the week.
- Chances for thunderstorms return this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
An MCV has been making its way across the southern Texas
Panhandle having enhanced convection across our northern row of
counties earlier this morning. This activity is expected to
somewhat stabilize the airmass and may very well be sufficient to
suppress an already weak indication for thunderstorm activity
toward Parmer, Bailey, and Castro counties this afternoon. At this
point, rain chances look below mentionable limits for a warm
Thursday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
The area will remain warm and dry with rain chances returning on
Saturday evening. Some locally heavy rainfall could be possible
west of the I-27 corridor though widespread hydrologic issues are
not anticipated. The CAPE/SHEAR profile looks somewhat anemic, but
given this time of year, a few strong storms could get going with
the downburst wind threat being the primary concern. Temperatures
should gradually trend downward closer to climo next week; that
is, highs in the mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...07

NWS LUB Office Area Forecast Discussion