553 FXUS63 KTOP 260813 AFDTOPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 313 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and quiet weather is expected through the next week with temperatures slightly above average.
- Patchy ground fog continues most mornings, mainly in the typical lower-lying spots.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Water vapor imagery shows the upper ridge axis is now over the Plains, in between two cut-off lows over the Southwest and Southeast CONUS. This ridge will park itself over the Plains for much of the next week, locking in warm and dry conditions across the area. Under the ridge with surface high pressure nearby, each day will see highs in the low/mid 80s and lows in the mid/upper 50s. May see an increase in clouds Monday into Tuesday as the southwestern upper low lifts northeast over the High Plains and becomes sheared out. But otherwise skies will stay mostly clear. When combined with light winds and shallow surface moisture, this should allow for some more shallow ground fog most mornings. Similar to what we`ve seen yesterday and so far this morning, fog should mainly stay confined to the typically favored spots - low lying areas and near bodies of water.
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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1218 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Similar to last night, some patchy shallow fog will tend to come and go through sunrise, mainly around KTOP. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue with southerly winds around or below 5 kts.
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.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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DISCUSSION...Reese AVIATION...Reese
NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion