Angola, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

362
FXUS64 KLIX 251736
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1236 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Light rain and a few embedded thunderstorms are likely through
this afternoon.
- Cold front arrives later today with drier and slightly cooler air
 behind the front.
- Dry forecast for the rest of the period through next Wednesday.
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The majority of the rain right now is offshore, however chances
remain elevated for southern and eastern areas throughout the
afternoon hours. Looking at surface obs and the WPC surface analysis
the front is currently located just about to McComb and extending SW
through the Lafayette area. As the front continues to gradually
drift southeastward it will dry out and slightly cool the area
behind it. By the overnight hours tonight we will see rain chances
completely gone inland.
Overnight Friday we find ourselves in the left exit region of the
trough which brings some rising motion. This could in turn lead to
some thunderstorm re-development over the coastal waters overnight
and through Friday morning. Throughout the day on Friday we will
continue to see the trough dig down into the area while it slides to
the east helping us to completely dry out.
In terms of temperatures, most areas today have only made it as high
as the low 80s so far. Those ahead of the front will likely only
warm another couple degrees before we are out of the peak heating
window or before the front arrives, whichever were to come first for
a particular area. Friday morning low temperatures will be
noticeably cooler if you step outside, with MinT`s in the mid 60s
for the Northshore and Coastal Mississippi and the upper 60s to
lower 70s for areas south of the lake. High temperatures on Friday
will be right around or just a degree or two shy of climate normals,
but with the drier air from the front it will feel rather pleasant
outside regardless.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Saturday we will start to see ridging build in from the west in the
upper levels with high pressure building in at the surface. This
will keep us with little to no rain chances for the remainder of the
forecast once the front is completely through the waters. Early
morning temperatures Saturday look to be even a touch cooler than
Friday morning, with MinT`s in the 60s to lower 70s sticking around
through the forecast period. Afternoon high temperatures on Saturday
will remain around climate normals. High temperatures heading into
early next week do look to warm back up into the upper 80s to lower
90s for most areas.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A mix of VFR and MVFR at terminals across the area this afternoon
with some areas still reporting some low Cigs. Most rain has ended
on land for now, but southern and eastern terminals will continue to
have PROB30s throughout the afternoon. All terminals should have VFR
conditions by later this evening.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A cold front will continue to gradually move southeastward and
through the region later today. Expect better chances for
thunderstorms through this afternoon ahead of the front. These
storms will likely produce locally higher winds and seas. Once the
front finally moves completely through the coastal waters early
Friday, light offshore flow will develop temporarily. Along the
front winds are looking to remain at or around 15 knots in the more
extreme cases outside of thunderstorms. That said, going in the
weekend, conditions appear to be more benign at least through Monday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  64  84  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  66  86  64  88 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  65  86  62  88 /  20   0   0   0
MSY  72  88  71  88 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  68  87  66  88 /  30  10   0   0
PQL  67  87  63  89 /  50  10   0   0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...HL
LONG TERM....HL
AVIATION...HL
MARINE...HL

NWS LIX Office Area Forecast Discussion