739 FXUS63 KGRR 071132 AFDGRRArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 732 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Showers linger today along slow-moving front
- Frost/Freeze for Tonight, Wednesday night
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 221 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
- Showers linger today along slow-moving front
The upper ridging of the past week is being replaced by a trough moving through the next couple days. For today, a band of showers and isolated thunderstorms will be slowly sinking south and east across the forecast area through this afternoon.
An axis of marginal instability along with deep layer shear of 25 to 30 knots will be along southern Lower Michigan early this morning and transient bowing line segments could bring an isolated wind threat before the surface cold front clears that area. Showers and isolated post-frontal elevated thunderstorms could persist until afternoon across the far southeast.
Northerly flow of drier air will result in clearing skies this evening.
- Frost/Freeze for Tonight, Wednesday night
Surface high moves over the Great Lakes region bringing much cooler temperatures. Lows tonight will fall into the 30s with areas of frost across the northern interior. There could be enough wind persisting to prevent widespread freezing temperatures until Wednesday night when the surface ridge axis is across Lower Michigan, allowing winds to decouple, providing more optimal radiational cooling conditions.
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.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 732 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Areas of IFR and patchy LIFR in low stratus will be found across southern Lower Michigan this morning before drier air moves in later this afternoon and VFR conditions return. Winds will be north around 10 knots.
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.MARINE... Issued at 221 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
North winds around 10 to 20 knots today with waves potentially building to 3 to 5 feet for a few hours this evening. Will hold off on a small craft advisory at this time given the marginal and transient threat. High pressure building in will bring more tranquil conditions for Wednesday and Thursday.
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.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.
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DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion