Barnes, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

385
FXUS63 KTOP 060534
AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1234 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A gradual warm-up through next week.
- Next chance (20-40%) of rain arrives Monday into Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Light rain continues south of I-70 this afternoon. Generally,
only a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch is expected. After
the rain moves out, surface high pressure builds in. Light wind
and clear sky will allow temperatures to fall quickly into the
40s overnight. Fog may develop with dewpoint depressions near
zero. Manhattan and areas to the west and south are most favored
to see some fog. A slow but steady warm-up is forecast into next
week with highs eventually rising back to near 90 by Wednesday.
The next chance of rain arrives Monday into Tuesday as northwest
flow aloft brings a weak mid-level wave overhead and southerly
surface wind brings additional moisture back into the region.
Models differ on the evolution of the weather pattern for the
later half of the week with varying ideas on how amplified and
far east an upper-level ridge builds in. There may be several
more low chances for rain through next week depending on where
the ridge sets up.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Clouds have cleared to the south of terminals with very light to
calm winds. This setup lends more confidence to the development
of fog for a few hours around sunrise, though it should be
shallow and patchy as there is some more wind a few hundred feet
AGL. Have kept the tempo group with IFR to MVFR vis to account
for this; otherwise VFR is anticipated.
&&
.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Jones
AVIATION...Picha

NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion