Bellaire, Michigan Weather Forecast Discussion

438
FXUS63 KAPX 162314
AFDAPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
714 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog likely late tonight into Wednesday morning.
- Minimal rain chances and warm through the week; turning cooler
  with better rain chances by the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025
Surface high pressure remains in place over the region,
supporting warm and dry weather this evening into Wednesday.
Skies will be mostly clear with perhaps some high-level clouds
drifting overhead late. Tonight will be calm and clear for most
areas. With light winds and radiational cooling, patchy fog is
likely to develop across northeast Lower, especailly along the
Lake Huron shoreline, and eastern Upper. Fog should begin to
slowly burn off after sunrise as mixing increases Wednesday.
Lows tonight will range in the upper 40s to mid 50s with the
coolest locations across northern Lower, especially inland
areas.
Wednesday continues the warm, dry pattern under the ridge, with
high pressure still dominate. Expect another warm day with
highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s with RH values dropping to the
upper 30s once again. Regardless of expected light winds,
ongoing rain-free weather and drying fuels are a growing concern
for fire danger.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 237 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025
The ridge weakens late Wednesday night into Thursday as a front
approaches the region. This front will bring increasing clouds
and higher moisture. Guidance is hinting at chances for drizzle
or light rain showers north of where the front settles Thursday
morning. However, rain chances look minimal with weak forcing,
so many locations may just see cloudier skies. Following that,
high pressure rebuilds late in the week into the early weekend,
bringing mostly dry condtions. Afternoon temperatures will
decrease through the work week into the weekend with an
increasing trend expected early next week. Next best chance for
precipitation looks to be late this weekend into early next
week... Stay tuned.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 707 PM EDT Tue Sep 16 2025
Again, looking at potential for more MVFR to IFR producing
fog/mist to develop later tonight...with the best odds for this
occurring at KAPN, KCIU, and KPLN. Any fog/mist will quickly mix
out after sunrise Wednesday, leaving behind VFR conditions
under mostly sunny skies. Light winds with local lake breeze
development Wednesday afternoon.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...NSC
LONG TERM...NSC
AVIATION...MSB

NWS APX Office Area Forecast Discussion