Bennett, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

854
FXUS62 KRAH 011023
AFDRAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
620 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A lingering mid and upper-level trough will finally move south of
the area this afternoon. Strong Canadian high pressure will build
south into the region tonight through late week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY AND TONIGHT/...
As of 200 AM Wednesday...
*Sunshine returns with seasonable temps
The lingering upper trough that has been parked over the region will
finally shift south of the area this afternoon. A tight pressure
gradient between Hurricane Imelda, moving out to sea, and strong
(+1030mb) high pressure building south out of eastern Canada will
result in breezy conditions today, with sustained NELY winds of 10
to 15 mph and frequent gusts to 20 to 25 mph.
Subsidence behind the departing trough will help to scatter out the
lingering mid and high clouds, allowing for increasing sunshine by
the afternoon commute. Highs will range from lower/mid 70s north to
upper 70s/near 80s south.
Overnight, renewed sfc pressure rises will drive a back-door cold
front through the area overnight, ushering in some of the coolest
air since early September. Lows 50 to 55, with some upper 40s
possible in cooler outlying spots of the northern Piedmont.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 AM Wednesday...
*Classic Fall Day
Canadian high pressure centered over the Mid-Atlantic and Carolinas
will be the dominate weather feature as upper-level ridging builds
in from the west.
This will bring a classic fall day with low humidity(BL dewpoints in
the 40s and lower 50s) and cooler-than-normal temperatures. Under
mostly sunny skies, highs will range from upper 60s/near 70 north,
to lower/mid 70s south.
Thursday night will be crisp, with lows dipping into the mid/upper
40s north, to lower 50s south---likely producing the first heating
degree days of the season for much of central NC.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1245 AM Wednesday...
* Slightly below normal temperatures on Friday, slowly increasing
  through the beginning of the week.
* Dry high pressure expected through the weekend, with the potential
  for moisture to return at the beginning of the week.
Surface high pressure will dominate the weather pattern over central
NC during the long term period. The center of the surface high
pressure should be located off the mid-Atlantic coast by Friday.
This should allow for temperatures to warm. High temperatures Friday
afternoon should be in the low 70s in the north to the upper 70s in
the south. Lows Friday night should dip into the 50s. Temperatures
should warm a few degrees each day, with maximum temperatures
reaching the upper 70s to low 80s by the start of the work week.
The high pressure should keep the forecast mostly dry through
Tuesday. However, as the high continues to shift further offshore
and winds shift to easterly/southeasterly, moisture will start to
increase over the region starting Monday. This will mean that an
isolated shower may be possible Monday and Tuesday, especially in
the south and east.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 620 AM Wednesday...
TAF period: High confidence in VFR conditions through the next 24
hours.
BKN-OVC mid and high-level clouds will scatter out in INT/GSO during
the morning, while high clouds linger through the late afternoon and
early evening at RDU/RWI/FAY. Additionally, diurnal heating will
promote an extensive stratocumulus deck, with a period of BKN bases
around 3-4kft possible at KRWI and KRDU.
A tight pressure gradient between Hurricane Imelda and high
pressure over eastern Canada will keep wind speeds between 5-10 kt
overnight, increasing to 10-15 kts after sunrise. Frequent gusts of
20 to 25 kts are expected to persist through the afternoon, before
diminishing after sunset.
Outlook: Dry high pressure will remain in place through the weekend,
supporting prevailing VFR conditions.
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...CBL/MWS
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...Helock
AVIATION...CBL

NWS RAH Office Area Forecast Discussion