446 FXUS64 KLZK 291051 AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 551 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
-Sunny skies are expected through the upcoming work week with a few afternoon diurnal cumulus.
-Mainly dry conditions will prevail through most of the upcoming work week across the state.
-Temperatures are expected to be seasonably warm averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees for high temperatures through Friday.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1055 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Quiet weather conditions will prevail through at least Wednesday throughout the Natural State. Surface high pressure over northern Illinois early this morning will remain anchored over the same general vicinity through Tuesday, then slide southeast into the Ohio river valley by Wednesday and to the east coast by the end of the work week. The influence of the ridge will provide mostly sunny skies and dry conditions with light winds and some afternoon diurnal cumulus clouds each afternoon through the forecast period. Temperatures will remain above average through the period averaging roughly 4 to 6 degrees above the climatological normal for high temperatures through at least the end of the upcoming work week.
Model guidance does show a weak disturbance rounding the periphery of the surface ridge leading to isolated chances for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday afternoon, but confidence in this solution is low and would not be surprised if all POPs are pulled from future packages.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 550 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Upper pressure over the state will keep calm and dry conditions over the next several days. Widespread VFR conditions are expected. With that said, some patchy fog will be possible early this morning with light winds but improvements are expected shortly after sunrise.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 88 60 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 87 62 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 82 58 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 87 63 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 86 65 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 90 65 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 86 62 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 86 59 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 88 63 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 88 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 87 63 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 88 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 88 64 88 64 / 0 0 0 0
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...73
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion