Brownlee, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

561
FXUS63 KLBF 020522
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1222 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will continue to remain much above average
  through Saturday, with highs in the 80s to near 90 expected
  each day. After a cold front tracks through the region
  Saturday night, temperatures drop to below average early next
  week.
- Dry conditions expected Thursday through Friday night. By the
  weekend, chances for precipitation increase following a
  frontal passage.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 248 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
A weak disturbance crossing the area today, with a few showers
and thunderstorms continuing this afternoon, mainly portions of
southwest into south central Nebraska. Temperatures across
western and north central Nebraska at 19Z ranged from 75 to 80.
A trough of surface low pressure extended across the western
Sandhills with light winds. A breezy south wind lingered in
eastern portions of north central Nebraska.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 248 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Tonight, clear skies with a light south to southwest wind. Lows
tonight will be mild in the 50s, which is 10 to 15 degrees
above normal.
Thursday, an upper trough will deepen across Washington, Oregon
and California, while upper ridging builds across the Central
and Eastern U.S. This will bring much above normal high
temperatures across western Nebraska around 15 degrees above
normal. Highs expected to reach 85 to 90. Southerly winds 5 to
15 mph.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 248 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Friday into Saturday, the upper trough will advance across the
Great Basin. This will lead to much above normal high
temperatures from 85 to around 90 each day. A breezy south wind
Friday. A lead shortwave trough will move into the Front Range
on Saturday, with windy conditions across the southeastern half
of the forecast area. South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 40
mph are expected. As the lead shortwave trough lifts quickly
northeast across the area Saturday night, a strong cold front
will move through, with chance to likely POPs for showers and
thunderstorms. The highest POPS located across the northwest
Sandhills. Behind the cold front, much cooler on Sunday, with
highs from 60 to 70. Cooler in the upper 50s to low 60s Monday.
Mainly dry Sunday, with better chances for showers returning
Sunday night and Monday night, as a frontal boundary stalls out
south of the area.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail across western and north
central Nebraska today and tonight. Skies remain mostly clear
throughout the effective TAF period, and winds remain mostly light
and variable overnight. By late morning, southeast winds are
expected across the region, again remaining under 10 knots
throughout the day. Will be keeping a close eye on patchy fog
potential overnight in southwest Nebraska. Fairly dry lower layers
in the environment should limit any concern, however some guidance
brings just enough moisture for a few hours of patchy fog near KLBF.
Will omit from TAFs for now, but may need to amend if humidity
becomes greater than currently expected.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Roberg
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Richie

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion