Burdett, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

528
FXUS63 KDDC 070540
AFDDDC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1240 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Continued dry weather tonight and Sunday
- A chance of showers and storms Monday
- Rest of next week dry and warm
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
We will be weak split flow aloft tonight and into Sunday. The net
result is a dry forecast. A cloud deck will eventually erode as the
day continues with mid level clouds expected tomorrow. Lows tonight
will be a little cooler than what is typical with values in the low
to mid 50s. A nice day is expected tomorrow a mix of 70s in the east
to 80s out west.
A weak upper level wave moves across the greater region Friday. This
feature make spark off some showers and storms during the day. This
will be our last shot at moisture for a while. The rest of the extended
period looks to feature upper level ridging based off deterministic
model output as well as their ensemble counterparts. Highs will trend
warmer as the business week continues. A mix of 80s to 90s looks
likely for the FA across southwest Kansas as the week continues.
Lows look to be in the 50s and 60s for much of the week.
Some of the long term models like the ECMWF shows an upper level wave
moving across the greater region late Friday night and into Saturday
morning. This may spark of showers and storms during this period.
Confidence though just based off deterministic models is low. Some
of the ensemble counterparts as weaker and don`t have much of a wave
moving through. If this were to be the case, then a dry forecast
would continues as we finish out the extended period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
VFR flying conditions this TAF cycle for all terminals. Current
light and variable winds will begin to increase after sunrise
Sunday morning, peaking from the late morning through the
afternoon out of the south at 13-17 kts gusting to 23-27 kts.
After sunset, winds will weaken back to aoa 12 kts. There is an
off chance for thunderstorms near GCK and LBL as well during the
21-03Z time frame, but confidence was too low to include in the
TAFs.
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Springer

NWS DDC Office Area Forecast Discussion