Carlton, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

218
FXUS64 KMOB 261720
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1220 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
The southern portion of a large posivively-tiled upper trough
extending from southeast Canada to eastern Texas will swing
eastward with a centralized weak cutoff low pressure area forming
today over the southeast CONUS. The axis of the system will reach
Georgia and the northeast Gulf by Saturday evening, and then stall
between an upper ridge building over the Great Plains and an
upper high pressure area over the Atlantic. The trough will then
weaken Saturday night and Sunday with only the weak cut-off low
remaining over the southeast CONUS, which may possibly merge with
a potential tropical system moving across the Bahamas toward the
Carolina coast early next week. A weak cold front entering the
northwest portion of our forecast area this morning will likely
stall along the I-65 corridor this afternoon, before moving off to
the southeast tonight as high pressure builds northwest of our
region.
Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will persist
along the coast throughout the morning, with additional
development of showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon
inland areas along and southeast of the stalled boundary. This
precipitation will then move east of our area tonight along with
the departing weak cold front, followed by dry conditions through
the middle of next week as drier air filters in from the north.
High temperatures in the middle 80s today will increase slightly
into the upper 80s and lower 90s over the weekend through the
middle of next week. Low temperature inland will remain in the
lower to middle 60s through the entire forecast, with upper 60s to
around 70 degrees along the immediate coast.
Beach Forecast: A LOW rip current risk is forecast through early
next week. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon mainly east of I-65 through early afternoon. A drier
airmass moves in late this afternoon and evening in the wake of a
front. Outside of isolated showers and storms, VFR conditions will
prevail. /13
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
No significant impacts to small craft are expected outside of
locally higher winds/seas and reduced visibilities associated with
occasional showers and thunderstorms today. Otherwise, a light
west to northwest wind this morning will become light
southwesterly this afternoon, followed by light offshore flow
through early next week as high pressure builds northwest of the
area. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      65  88  65  89  66  90  67  90 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Pensacola   69  88  68  89  71  89  70  89 /   0   0   0   0   0  10  10  10
Destin      70  86  71  89  72  88  72  87 /  10   0   0   0   0  10  10  10
Evergreen   63  89  62  91  64  91  64  90 /  10   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Waynesboro  62  86  61  88  64  88  64  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      63  86  62  88  65  88  64  87 /  10   0   0   0   0  10   0   0
Crestview   63  89  63  90  65  89  65  89 /  10   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion