Chadron, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

973
FXUS65 KCYS 062337
AFDCYS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
537 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Stronger winds along I-80 from Laramie to Rawlins with gusts
  up to 30-35 MPH through this afternoon and again possible for
  Sunday.
- Daily afternoon thunderstorms are possible after Tuesday,
  with the main threats being wind and hail.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 145 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Under clear skies last night, temperatures plummeted in valleys
across eastern Wyoming and areas of the Nebraska Panhandle
where several locations dipped down into the upper 20s. This
brief shot of fall is short lived due to upper-level ridging
that will build back in across portions of our CWA, resulting in
700MB temps climbing back into the low double digits, above
zero. So for today, highs will nearly be 10 degrees warmer in
many spots across the CWA, topping out in the mid to upper 70s,
to near 80 in a few locations, with lows tonight bottoming out
in the upper 40s to low 50s. Stronger winds primarily west of
the I-25 corridor, along I-80 west of Laramie, will be
relatively gusty through this afternoon into this evening, with
west northwest winds 15-20 MPH, gusting up to 30-35 MPH, with
more of the same on Sunday. On the precipitation front, hi-res
guidances is indicating some storm initiation over the higher
terrain and that is currently on radar with a few very isolated
storms that are pushing southeast of off the Sierra Madre and
Snowy Mountains. This activity is not expected to be anything
widespread, but remain very isolated and near higher terrain.
The warming trend will continue into and through Sunday along with
increased chances of rainfall and storms. An upper-level shortwave
will slide across the CWA providing the needed lift in the
atmosphere along with moisture for storm initiation. These
storms will be more widespread compared to today, with storms
developing across Wyoming in the early afternoon and spreading
east into the Nebraska panhandle by mid/late afternoon.
Instability parameters are not all that impressive, but will be
enough to initiate thunderstorm activity that may contain small
hail along with gusty and erratic winds. The other thing of
note in the short term will be the smoke coming from Canadian
wildfires which will primarily affect western zones of the CWA.
Due to this, there is an air quality alert still in effect
through 1PM Sunday for portions of western and northern Carbon
County. However, most of the CWA may see hazy skies with the
possibility of smoke aloft.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 145 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Upper level ridging will continue to dominate the pattern until
Tuesday. This will keep the region rather dry with the occasional
breezy uptick in winds in the afternoon. An upper level low is
progged to enter and cross in the middle of the of the Western US.
This system looks to stall as it starts to flatten the ridge sending
shortwaves to help develop the daily chances for thunderstorm
development. Wednesday looks to be gusty as the low pressure system
flattens and compresses the pressure gradient. This compressed
gradient is expected to last until at least Friday as the system
pushes east.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 537 PM MDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Smoke is still affecting KRWL with minor visibility drops but
still above 3SM for the most part. The smoke is expected to get
better tomorrow and stay around 6sm or greater. Some showers are
developing near KLAR however they should stay in the vicinity
and not drop rain over the airport. Tomorrow the winds will be
gusty for our Wyoming terminals and should stay fairly light for
the Nebraska terminals. All cloud decks are expected to stay
pretty high based (10,000ft and above). Tomorrow we could also
see some thunderstorm development but that looks like it could
only affect KRWL and KLAR.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...Air Quality Alert until 1 PM MDT Sunday for WYZ104-109-111>113.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RZ
LONG TERM...MM
AVIATION...MM

NWS CYS Office Area Forecast Discussion