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Clovis, California Weather Forecast Discussion

820
FXUS66 KHNX 010803
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 103 AM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

1. Chances for precipitation are in store for Thursday into Friday as a low pressure system tracks into the western U.S. In 12 hours ending 5 PM Friday, there is a 30 to 40 percent probability for 0.10 inch for the Sierra Nevada north of Kern County.

2. Cooler air moving in Friday will cause an 80 to 90 percent probability for below freezing temperatures at Tioga Pass. Additionally, here is a 50 to 60 percent probability for a trace or more of snowfall through 5 PM Friday.

3. There is a 70 to 80 percent probability for 80 degrees in the San Joaquin Valley and Kern County desert through Thursday before falling to 20 to 30 percent on Friday. A warming trend will bring increasing probabilities for the weekend.

4. There is a 60 to 70 percent probability for maximum wind gusts greater than 45 mph for the town of Mojave and State Routes 14 and 58 on Friday.

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.DISCUSSION... A brief warmup and break from precipitation will occur throughout Central California today, although a zonal flow will prevail. Highs remain mainly in the 80`s for both the San Joaquin Valley and Kern County desert. The next chance for precipitation begins Thursday and will last into Friday thanks to a trough of low pressure. Precipitation amounts will be mainly light, or a tenth of an inch or less, except some areas of the Sierra Nevada may see higher amounts, or closer to 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Cooler temperatures will also occur on Friday into Saturday, or at least a few degrees below average. There is also a chance (about 15-30%) of thunderstorms, at least for the Sierra and foothills. As for mountain snow, expect it to fall above 9,000 feet with limited accumulations (20-50% chance for at least 2 inches). Gusty winds have a good chance to develop along the Mojave Desert slopes by Friday afternoon and evening.

For Sunday into next week, temperatures will warm back to near average while dry conditions prevail. Highs at the warmest locations will once again rise back to the 80`s. No significant high pressure ridging is likely to occur for the next several days.

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.AVIATION... VFR conditions are expected through 12Z Thursday.

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.AIR QUALITY ISSUES... None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

BSO

weather.gov/hanford

NWS HNX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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