Cologne, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

974
FXUS64 KCRP 100551
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1251 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1242 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Low to medium rain/storm chances today through the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Not much of a change from the previous forecast package with high
pressure continuing to build aloft. A few disturbances will still be
able to track in the upper flow, which combined with Gulf moisture
will provide low to medium rain and thunderstorms chances (20-50%)
through early next week. Although still believing the NBM is
overdoing PoPs, have allowed slightly higher probabilities
(60-70%) to enter the forecast late this week mainly over the
marine zones in par with a persistence pattern. Chances inland
will be at their highest Thursday and Friday before dropping below
a 35% over the weekend. In terms of temperatures, these will
generally be near normal to slightly above normal through next
week with maximum heat index values remaining below 105 degrees.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Expect mostly VFR conditions across all terminals through the TAF
period. Along the Rio Grande, a morning mid-level cloud deck
develops but quickly erodes by late morning, leading to mostly SKC
skies. ESE`ly winds increase to 10-15 kts this afternoon before
subsiding to light and variable tonight.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
A gentle to moderate breeze is expected to persist this week across
the Gulf waters with medium to high (40-70%) chances for showers
and thunderstorms through Friday. As we head into the weekend,
rain chances will drop to 20-35%.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    92  76  93  77 /  20  10  40  20
Victoria          95  71  95  71 /   0   0  30   0
Laredo            98  73  99  75 /  20   0  30  10
Alice             95  71  95  72 /  20  10  40  10
Rockport          91  78  92  78 /  10  10  50  30
Cotulla           97  71  97  74 /   0   0  20   0
Kingsville        92  72  93  75 /  30  10  50  20
Navy Corpus       89  81  90  81 /  20  20  50  50
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...AE/82

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion