199 FXUS64 KCRP 110531 AFDCRPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1231 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
- Seasonal temperatures continue through the weekend into next week
- Next best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Friday and early next week
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A mid to upper level ridge will continue to remain in firm control over South Texas through the weekend before zonal flow returns early next week. The presence of this ridge will help limit the development of showers and thunderstorms, however, a weak shortwave and areas of positive vorticity advection will ride the eastern periphery of the ridge Friday promoting medium (30-60%) chances for rain across all of South Texas except for the Victoria Crossroads. Our next best chances for rain will then return early next week with low to medium (30-50%) chances for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle with light winds tonight and tomorrow night and gusty winds in the afternoon. There is a medium chance for MVFR ceilings to develop early tomorrow morning between 12-15z across LRD and COT.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) is expected through the weekend into next week with brief periods of a fresh breeze (BF 5) developing Thursday afternoon. Medium (30-60%) chances for showers and thunderstorms can be expected Thursday and Friday with drier conditions this weekend before medium rain chances return once again early next week.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 77 92 77 / 30 20 50 10 Victoria 95 71 95 70 / 20 0 10 0 Laredo 99 74 96 74 / 10 10 60 10 Alice 96 73 94 72 / 20 10 50 10 Rockport 91 79 92 79 / 30 20 30 10 Cotulla 97 74 95 73 / 10 0 40 0 Kingsville 94 74 92 72 / 30 20 50 10 Navy Corpus 89 80 89 82 / 30 40 50 20
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.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...JCP/84
NWS crp Office Area Forecast Discussion