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Curtis, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

613
FXUS64 KLCH 080533
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1233 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure will facilitate relatively mild and dry weather across the area through the midweek ahead while evening lows are projected to be noticeably cool tonight and Tuesday night.

- A slow rebound into the upper 80`s and 90`s is forecast for the rest of the work week with overall conditions trending toward the dry side through the end of forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Despite a fairly moisture troposphere aloft noted by the 08th/00Z sounding, surface conditions have trended dry. Areas of high clouds will slowly erode southward into before dawn, allowing temperatures sink low to mid 60`s upon sunrise. Pressure continues to rise as the ridge builds through this afternoon while temperatures top out several degrees below normal--around the mid 80`s. Naturally, ridging and stable surface conditions will limit cloud cover to start off the work week mostly clear and dry. This pattern under clear skies will allow another evening of widespread lows in the 60`s with a few backyards well inland potentially touching the upper 50`s by daybreak Tuesday. Winds will remain out of the northeast, becoming light in the afternoon. As the center of high pressure pushes off the Canadian Maritimes, ridging will slack SW to the TX / LA Gulf Coast. High temperatures will begin a slow climb through Wednesday toward seasonable norms- into the lower 90`s. Chances of precipitation remain NIL during this period making it a excellent time to complete outdoor activities that require an extended period of rain free conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Trending into the long range Thursday, conditions will warm further into the lower 90`s as the surface pressure gradient continues slack and become zonal toward the coast. Thus, winds will acquire more easterly components while generally remaining light. Meanwhile, upper level flow begins to modify the ridge pattern east of the Mississippi and extend into the northern Gulf keeping conditions relatively dry through the end of the work week. Temperatures during this range of the forecast likely to top out in the low to mid 90`s. Northerly flow aloft and broad ridging will help us hold on to drier weather into this weekend as highs hedge a few degrees near or above seasonable norms.

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Winds will remain out of the N-NE overnight into the mid morning hours with high clouds gradually pushing offshore. Conditions will remain VFR at all TAF sites during this period.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

A modest offshore flow will remain in place through Wednesday behind the front that is currently in the coastal waters. Winds and seas will increase through the morning hours as high pressure builds down from the Midwest and briefly tightens the pressure gradient overhead. Small craft should exercise caution through this period. By the mid week winds/gusts will ease and gain more easterly components.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025

Under dry high pressure regime, afternoon minimum relative humidity will generally range 30-45% today. Moisture will slowly return through the mid/late week, mainly along and south of I-10. Hereafter, dry conditions continue with little to no rainfall expected through the end of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 84 58 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 85 62 88 69 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 85 62 89 70 / 0 0 10 0 BPT 87 63 88 68 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...30

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion

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