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Cypress Inn, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

166
FXUS64 KHUN 071552
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1052 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM... (Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 1052 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

In the mid/upper-levels, the TN Valley remains embedded within the flow around a longwave trough across eastern North America, and this will provide dry WNW flow aloft of 20-30 knots today before high-level winds weaken and veer to NNW overnight. At the surface, an area of high pressure (initially centered across southern MN/northern IA) will strengthen as it build east- southeastward into northern OH by 12Z Monday. A 2-4 mb pressure gradient along the southern rim of the low-level ridge will maintain light-moderate NNE flow, with weak CAA expected to be offset by strong insolation today, providing highs in the 75-80F range for most valley locations (lower 70s atop the Cumberland Plateau).

Clear skies this evening will result in somewhat favorable conditions for radiational cooling (in spite of the persistent NNW winds) and this should allow temperatures to quickly drop into the u40s-m50s (with development of light fog possible in sheltered valleys). However, as winds just above the surface begin to veer to ESE, a broken layer of lower stratocumulus clouds will begin to spread northwestward across the region early Monday morning, stabilizing temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday night) Issued at 1052 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

Latest model data suggests that the height gradient aloft will relax considerably over the course of the short term period, as the eastern North America longwave begins to lift out to the northeast and a more subtle shortwave trough evolves to our west from the conglomeration of three distinct vorticity maxima. Although a minor increase in SSW flow aloft could provide periods of high- level cloudiness from late Monday into Tuesday, no additional impacts on sensible weather are anticipated at this point. In the low-levels, surface pressures will begin to rise in the lee of the southern Appalachians tomorrow and tomorrow night, as a high in the vicinity of Lake Erie strengthens further and builds east- northeastward into northern New England, and this trend will likely continue on Tuesday/Tuesday night, perhaps being enhanced by the formation of a weak low off the coast of NC/SC. This will lead to a return of ESE flow across our forecast area, allowing dewpoints to rise back into the m-u 50s before potentially falling once again Tuesday night as drier air spreads westward around the base of the southern Appalachians. Highs will warm back into the u70s-l80s on Monday and l-m 80s on Tuesday, with lows likewise increasing to the m50s-l60s Tuesday/Wednesday mornings.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1050 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025

By Wednesday, highs look to climb into the mid to upper 80s again. So getting hotter again, but remaining dry.

The pattern doesn`t change much towards the end of next week with the upper level trough axis over the east continuing to lift and weaken. A stronger area of upper level ridging developing over the central portion of the CONUS edges closer to the area. Main change will be increasing hot conditions towards next weekend. Highs should climb back into the upper 80s to lower 90s in most areas. It still will be fairly dry though, so not overly oppressive heat index values expected. Lows should continue to warm a tad into the 60 to 65 degree range in most areas.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. Northerly winds will gust to around 15 knots during the day before diminishing after sunset.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...70/DD SHORT TERM...70/DD LONG TERM...KTW AVIATION...GH

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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