Darr, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

134
FXUS63 KGID 180554
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1254 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Various chances of showers and thunderstorms will be present
  mainly today through Monday. No severe weather is expected at this
  time.
- Temperatures will mainly be in the 60s and 70s today and tomorrow
  then will warm up into the 70s and 80s Friday and Saturday. Highs
  will be in the 80s on Sunday which will be the warmest day.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 321 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Today and tonight...
An upper low/trough is over the northern and central Plains.
Temperatures today across south central and central Nebraska and
north central Kansas are cooler than yesterday with the cloud cover,
rain showers, and upper low nearby. Additional showers and
thunderstorms may develop later this afternoon with the upper low
nearby and especially along areas where the sky is clearing which
would result in higher instability. No severe storms are expected as
the higher CAPE, wind shear, upper lift, and instability will not be
combined. Light, mostly westerly winds are expected tonight with
lows in the mid 50s to low 60s.
Thursday through Saturday night...
The upper trough will extend from the northern Rockies and northern
Plains southward to the central and southern Plains on Thursday. A
cold front associated with the upper trough will be pushing into the
area Thursday afternoon which will result in high temperatures in
the mid 60s to mid 70s. Showers and thunderstorms will still be
possible across the area (15% to around 45% chance) on Thursday. Low
temperatures Thursday night will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s with
a surface high present. The upper trough will begin to move east of
the area on Friday with winds across south central and central
Nebraska and north central Kansas becoming southerly. Temperatures
on Friday will warm up some from the previous day with highs in the
mid 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures Friday night will be in the mid
50s to low 60s with southerly winds. Some showers and storms may
develop (15% to 20% chance) Friday night as a shortwave moves across
the area. Temperatures will continue to warm up on Saturday with
highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. Low temperatures Saturday night
will be in the mid 50s to low 60s. A low chance (15% to 20%) of
showers and thunderstorms continues Saturday and Saturday night.
Sunday through Tuesday...
An upper level trough will be over the central Plains on Sunday.
Southerly winds will be across south central and central Nebraska
and north central Kansas on Sunday with temperatures warming up into
the 80s. Low temperatures Sunday night will be a degree or two
warmer than the previous night. A slight chance (15% to 20%) of
showers and thunderstorms will be present Sunday night as a portion
of the upper trough moves overhead. The main portion of the upper
trough will move over the region on Monday with an associated cold
front pushing into the area. The high temperatures will depend on
the timing of the front with temperatures warming up along a surface
trough positioned ahead of the front. Temperatures Monday night will
be cooler with lows in the 50s. There is much uncertainty in regards
to temperatures on Tuesday due to the positioning of an upper low
with a possible temperature range of the 60s to the mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Another tricky TAF period owing to high uncertainty/low
confidence in CIGs and chances for showers today.
Clouds will be on the increase over the next several hours,
though latest model trends suggest these will be mostly of the
mid to high level variety...so backed off on bringing in MVFR
CIGs later this morning. Held onto the MVFR VSBYs around dawn,
however, given high near sfc RH and lgt and vrbl winds that
could maybe produce some light fog.
Thursday daytime looks to be fairly cloudy with off and on
chances for iso-scat shwrs/weak storms. Best chc for rain and
perhaps some MVFR CIGs will be late AM into the aftn. Forecast
soundings suggest a mix of VFR and MVFR CIGs mid to late aftn,
though I wouldn`t be surprised if the trend is toward more
solidly MVFR. Expect decr clouds and chances for rain Thu eve.
SW winds in the AM should gradually veer to NWrly by late in the
day. The Wrly component to the flow should keep fog at bay Thu
night, though will have to monitor potential for sub-VFR stratus
to sink in from the N just beyond this TAF period.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Thies

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion