051 FXUS64 KOHX 110329 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
- Overall dry pattern continues through the forecast period.
- Highs in the 90s starting tomorrow and continuing into next week.
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.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
Some showers from a shortwave are present along the TN/KY border this evening, but other than that, there`s not much about this forecast to write home about. Thursday should be a quiet day, albeit warmer. There is some suggestion still from the HREF and other ensembles that some precipitation could fall across middle Tennessee, but if that occurs, it will be light. No severe weather is expected in the short term period.
As for temperatures, Highs on Thursday will touch 90 once again, mainly west of the Cumberland Plateau. This is the beginning of a ridging pattern pushing east over the area, and things will only continue to heat up into the weekend and next week.
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.LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
A ridge to our west will push east into the weekend, socking us into a warmer and drier pattern. Not much humidity, and near zero rain chances mean it`ll be nice and sunny. The downside of this is that the mercury will continue to rise, getting into the mid 90s by Sunday afternoon. Guidance is suggesting the ridge could flatten some into mid-week next week, bringing our temperatures down to the low 90s, but still much warmer than we`d like for September.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025
VFR conditions with light winds will continue through the taf period at BNA/MQY/CKV. CSV/SRB will have episodes of MVFR fog from 05Z-13Z, and shallow fog may briefly drop SRB obs to LIFR.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 66 91 64 92 / 10 0 0 0 Clarksville 64 93 61 92 / 10 0 0 0 Crossville 58 81 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 64 90 61 90 / 0 10 10 0 Cookeville 60 83 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 59 81 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 62 88 59 88 / 0 10 10 0 Murfreesboro 64 90 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 64 91 62 92 / 10 0 10 0
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....13
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion