Emelle, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

429
FXUS64 KBMX 070506
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1206 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1036 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
A few showers may scrape the SE counties over the next couple of
hours as the system pushes away. Otherwise, all of C AL is behind
the surface front now. High pressure centered from ND to OK will
spread across ERN Conus Sunday. In the upper levels, broad
troughing across ERN Conus will nudge EWD on Sunday with NW flow
into AL. Drier air will push SEWD across the NW half of the area
during the day and across the remainder of the area Sunday
evening. Rain free conditions are expected across C AL as a
result. On Monday, the ERN Conus ridge will become more NE to SW
elongated with NE-ERLY low level flow into C AL. We should see
our lower dew points rebound some on Monday from the E. Although
we may see an isolated shower or storm in the SE during the
afternoon on Monday with heating, for the most part C AL should be
rain free on Monday as well with only minor recovery in the lower
levels.
08
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1036 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
Guidance continues to indicate a rain free pattern for the extended.
The Gulf Coast front should continue further SWD through the week
with E Conus surface ridging expected to continue. In the upper
levels, weak troughing will be present across the Deep South, but
with only meager moisture available. Any precip will likely remain
to the S of C AL. For the second half of the week, upper ridging
spreads across the Central US from W TX with weak NRLY flow into AL
and dry conditions. High temperatures slowly moderate upward through
the extended. While lows should increase some for Monday night,
overall lows should remain steady through the rest week and be a
little below normal for early/mid Sept.
08
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1159 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
A narrow band of MVFR/IFR CIGS are following the front south, with
temporary reductions in CIGS likely through 07/09z. Gusty north
winds are also expected this afternoon, with gusts near 20 MPH
possible past 07/15z. Beyond that, VFR conditions are anticipated
for the rest of the TAF period.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Rain free weather is forecast to prevail across Central Alabama
for the most part through next week. While drier, post-frontal
air will overspread the region, afternoon minimum RHs are
currently forecast to average above critical thresholds. However,
if dew points trend slightly lower mid to late week, RHs could
bottom out just below currently forecast minimums in the lower
30s. 20 foot winds will be northerly around 10 mph on Sunday and
then northeast to east between 5-10 mph Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  81  58  83 /  10   0   0   0
Anniston    64  80  59  83 /  10   0   0   0
Birmingham  63  82  60  84 /  10   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  63  83  59  85 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      64  83  60  85 /  10   0   0   0
Auburn      68  85  64  82 /  20   0   0  10
Montgomery  68  86  62  86 /  10   0   0  10
Troy        68  86  63  85 /  20   0   0  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion