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Emmett, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

947
FXUS64 KFWD 110601
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 101 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025

...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tranquil weather conditions will continue through the weekend with afternoon highs in lower to mid 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Friday Night/

Slightly warmer conditions are expected today compared to yesterday with temperatures in the mid 90s across the board. The area of high pressure we`ve been tracking over the last couple of days is currently centered near the Midland area, slowly migrating to the east. By this afternoon, the center of the mid-level high will be near Abilene with a continued slow eastward progression into Friday.

Given the strong subsidence aloft, precipitation will remain outside of North and Central Texas. Afternoon temperatures on Friday will once again climb into the mid 90s with early morning temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Hernandez

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.LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday Onward/

The axis of the mid-level ridge will be aligned north/south on Saturday along the I-35 corridor. This will ensure continued strong subsidence atop our region.

Sensible weather conditions will remain largely unchanged each day with afternoon temperatures in the lower to mid 90s and morning temperatures in the 60s and 70s. The tranquil weather conditions will persist through the next 7 days given the continued influence of the ridge.

A pattern shift is looming in the horizon as high pressure begins to build back across the Desert Southwest next weekend. This will return northwesterly flow to North and Central Texas, allowing for disturbances to pass atop our region. Although rain chances at this time remain below 15% in the 8-10 day period, we`ll continue to assess the pattern for any additional rises in the potential for precipitation.

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/ /06z TAFs/

Continued tranquil weather conditions at all TAF sites can be expected through the next 30 hours. Southeasterly winds between 4-7 kts will persist with occasional passing high clouds AOB FL200.

Hernandez

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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 68 94 73 95 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 66 93 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 65 92 68 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 65 95 69 95 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 65 93 70 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 70 95 73 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 65 92 69 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 68 93 71 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 65 93 68 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 63 95 68 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion

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