Esom Hill, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

668
FXUS62 KFFC 292338
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
738 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 731 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Tropical Storm Imelda will not have significant impacts in
   north and central Georgia.
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday with dry
   conditions the rest of the week.
- High temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each
   afternoon will lead to fall-like conditions through late week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 224 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
While Imelda is looking to take a good hard turn to the east and
steer clear of the mainland; widespread cloud coverage will keep
temperatures a few degrees below normal today. Highs in the upper
70s and low 80s combined with dew points in the 60s should make for
a lovely day.
As Imelda works her way north, she`s interacting with the stationary
front that brought us some showers and thunderstorms a few days ago.
The scrunching of those isobars is giving us some gusty winds across
most of north and central Georgia. NE winds at 10-15mph could gust
as high as 25mph this afternoon before easing overnight.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 224 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The newly named Tropical Storm Imelda is centered about 95 miles
to the west of the central Bahamas, and is anticipated to move
slowly northward through the short term period. By the beginning
of the long term period on Tuesday morning, the center of Imelda
is expected to be positioned a couple of hundred miles to the
southeast of the Georgia coast. Ensemble guidance is coming into
better agreement that the storm will begin to turn eastward into
the Atlantic on Tuesday, accelerating as it moves towards Bermuda.
Examining the trends in the last few track forecasts from NHC,
the point at which the storm`s movement shifts from north to east
is trending further away from Georgia to the south and east. The
increasing agreement in an eastward turn further away from the
forecast area begets increasing confidence that wind and rain
impacts from Imelda will be minimal in north and central Georgia.
A moist airmass will be in place across the area on Tuesday, with
dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s. As temperatures rise into the
low to mid 80s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop
on Tuesday afternoon. PoPs will be highest (30-50 percent) in the
eastern portions of the forecast area, in the closest proximity to
Imelda, with progressively lower PoPs further west.
On Wednesday, a broad upper level ridge will become centered over
the east CONUS, with a strong surface high moving over New England.
A wedge of high pressure associated with this surface high will
spread into north Georgia as Imelda continues to retreat eastward
into the Atlantic. This synoptic setup will favor cooler and drier
conditions during the later part of the week and into the weekend,
with minimal rain chances, highs in the mid to upper 70s and lows in
the mid 50s to low 60s. Winds are furthermore expected to be
northeasterly during the mid to late week, rising to 10-15 mph with
gusts as high as 25 mph during the afternoon hours.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 731 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The primary aviation concern through 16Z Tuesday will be the
development of isolated LIFR and widespread IFR ceilings. The
lowest ceilings 300 to 700 ft should occur in eastern Georgia.
Any of the TAF sites could be impacted by ceilings below 1000 ft
AGL. Isolated rain showers will occur through Tuesday, with some
limited visibility restrictions of 2 to 6 SM possible in eastern
Georgia between 06Z and 14Z. Winds will continue to be from the
northeast at 3 to 12 kt, with occasional gusts near 20 kt.
//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Moderate confidence in the visibility, precipitation and wind
forecasts.
High confidence lower ceilings Tuesday morning, but moderate
confidence in them remaining above 800 ft.
Albright
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          65  77  61  81 /  20  10   0   0
Atlanta         67  81  65  83 /   0  10   0   0
Blairsville     59  76  56  78 /  10  40  10  10
Cartersville    65  84  63  85 /   0  20   0   0
Columbus        67  85  65  86 /   0  10   0   0
Gainesville     65  79  62  82 /  10  20   0   0
Macon           67  81  63  84 /  10  10   0   0
Rome            65  86  64  88 /  10  10   0   0
Peachtree City  65  82  62  83 /   0  10   0   0
Vidalia         68  83  64  85 /  10  20   0   0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...Albright

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion