352 FXUS65 KBOI 071006 AFDBOIArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 406 AM MDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night...An upper level trough remains off the northern CA coast. Southwest flow has developed over the area. Drier air will move into the area today from the southwest. There is enough residual moisture for showers and thunderstorms to form (20-30 percent chance) over the central ID mountains, southwest ID highlands south of Twin Falls and the Blue Mountains this afternoon. Drier air will suppress shower and thunderstorm development over much of the eastern OR basins and the Snake Basin this afternoon. The dry slot continues into Monday with breezy west-southwest winds during the afternoon. Afternoon low RHs and breezy conditions will be a fire concern over eastern OR and southwest ID highlands on Sunday and Monday. The upper level trough slowly moves inland on Tuesday with a cold front moving through the area. The cold front will bring a 20-30 percent chance of precipitation to the area, with the exception of the west central ID and Baker County mountains where there is a 40-60 percent chance.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...The trough will be slow to move across the area through the long term. The trough brings cooler conditions and a 20-50 percent chance of showers and a 10-20 percent chance of thunderstorms through Saturday. Temperatures lower to 5-10 degrees below normal Wednesday through Saturday before moderating to near normal after the system moves eastward on Sunday.
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.AVIATION...VFR. Scattered showers and thunderstorms near KJER KTWF KMYL KBKE this afternoon. Surface winds: variable 5-10kt becoming SW-NW 5-15kt during the afternoon, except gusts up to 35kt near showers and storms. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: SW 10-20kt.
KBOI...VFR. SE 5-10kt this morning, shifting to NW 5-10kt during the afternoon.
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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.
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SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....KA AVIATION.....KA
NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion