184 FXUS63 KPAH 092325 AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 625 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Summer-like 90s return to the forecast soon and stick around for awhile.
- A continued dry weather forecast will only exacerbate drought conditions and heighten fire danger as the week ensues.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1235 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
One last nice, crisp, cool morning with 40s for lows will disappear for awhile now, as the warmup has commenced and shows no soon signs of abatement. Pattern evolution will see H5 heights rise toward 590 DM by week`s end, as a stout high pressure ridge aloft centers over the country`s mid-section. H8 temps more than double in that same time frame, translating to a movement into and thru the 80s starting today, pushing 90F as soon as tmrw, and firmly into/rising 90s heading into the weekend, when peaks in the mid 90s are expected. Dew points in the 40s this morning rebound thru the 50s this work week, struggling toward but having a hard time getting past 60F. An overall lack of moisture under the synoptic scale sink of the anti-cyclone will keep most pops at bay and silent, which will only exacerbate our current drought conditions and heighten fire danger with time as fuels dry out. Fortunately, the anti-cyclone also keeps winds generally at bay as well, and still abundant leafing coverage offers some mitigating shelter to boot.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 621 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
VFR flight conditions prevail for the next 24 hours. Can`t rule out very patchy fog but confidence on impacts to terminals is low enough to not include in the TAF. Light and variable winds tonight will increase from the southwest to around 5-6 kts. Diurnal CU with bases of 5-7 kft are expected to develop by the afternoon hours.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...Previous Fcter AVIATION...AD
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion