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Fern, Iowa Weather Forecast Discussion

803
FXUS63 KDMX 051922
AFDDMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Des Moines IA 222 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm, dry, and windy conditions resulting in elevated fire weather concerns will taper off this afternoon.

- Spotty showers this afternoon in northwest Iowa, moving across the area and becoming more widespread on Monday. Rain will taper off southeast by Tuesday morning.

- Cooler highs in the 60s and 70s this week.

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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 221 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Winds remain breezy out of the southwest today ahead of the cool front that has reached northwest Iowa early this afternoon. Wind have generally gusted 25-35 mph so far today with a few isolated gusts near 40 mph. At the same time the surface boundary has reached northwest Iowa with spotty reflectivity returns on radar. Much of this is not reaching the ground with significant dry air to battle initially. Cloud cover has helped keep afternoon temperatures a few degrees cooler than Saturday and winds are marginally reduced as well, helping to reduce potential cropland fire concerns. Even so, caution should be used with fires or anything that may produce sparks the rest of today. As upper level support arrives later this afternoon and evening expect to increasing saturation thorugh the column and more widespread precipitation along the front. Instability is limited with

NWS DMX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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