531 FXUS64 KOHX 070345 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1045 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1045 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
- Dry weather returns to Middle TN and sticks around through the week.
- Gradual warming each day with highs pushing back into the mid 80s to lower 90s by Wednesday.
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.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday Night) Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
High pressure currently over the northern Plains will drop south and build over the region on Sunday. This will bring great weather to Middle TN. Skies will clear out early Sunday and we will see light winds. This will lead to patchy fog with the best chances south and east of Nashville, some of the fog may be dense. Fog will lift quickly and we will see plenty of sun with highs a bit warmer than Saturday pushing into the mid 70s to lower 80s.
Not a lot of change is expected as we head into Monday as surface high pressure remains set up over the region. Lows Sunday night will be chilly once again falling into the upper 40s to lower 50s. Highs on Monday will be similar to Sunday.
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.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1045 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
We are going to see quiet weather as head into the week. High pressure will slowly push off to the east early in the week and will bring return flow Tuesday pushing dry dew points in the 40s and low 50s back into upper 50s to lower 60s. An upper level ridge will amplify to our west and build east mid to late week. This will bring warming temperatures with highs starting out in the upper 70s to lower 80s and warming into the mid 80s to lower 90s by Wednesday. No precip is expected throughout the forecast period.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 633 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
FG will be the main concern tonight at all sites except CKV, who has had a chance to dry out since the rain showers. Expect visibilities down to 1/2SM and ceilings in IFR/LIFR territory. Should all clear out, or at least start to, by 13z Sunday. Skies will clear and remain clear with winds out of the north around 5-10 knots.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 54 81 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 50 81 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 50 72 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 50 79 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 50 73 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 49 73 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 50 77 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 51 79 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 50 80 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
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.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Mueller LONG TERM....Mueller AVIATION.....Holley
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion