085 FXUS64 KLZK 200525 AFDLZKArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1225 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
-Strong to severe storms will be possible across portions of the state this afternoon and evening with the best chances across southern and central Arkansas.
-A brief break in the showers are expected this weekend with unsettled weather returning to the forecast by early next week.
-Hot and humid conditions will continue today, lasting through the weekend.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 205 AM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
To begin the period, a somewhat active weather pattern is expected over the next several days as multiple shortwaves move across the state. With it comes the chance for showers, thunderstorms, and cooler temperatures. The best chance for rain through the period will be Friday afternoon then again Monday through Wednesday morning. While widespread severe is not expected, some isolated storms could produce severe hail and/or wind gusts.
As with any scattered convection, exact totals depend where storms set up. Overall, most locations could see up to an inch of rain through the middle of next week. Higher accumualtions will be possible for areas with consistent storms or training.
Temperatures are expected to be average to above average through much of the period with high temperatures in the lower 80s (mainly northern locations) to lower 90s and overnight low temperatures dropping into the lower 60s to lower 70s across the state.
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Mostly VFR conditions are expected overnight with light and variable winds. Additional rounds of rain will be possible after sunrise with the main timing looking to be around the afternoon and evening hours.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 91 67 91 67 / 20 30 50 40 Camden AR 93 66 92 68 / 0 0 20 10 Harrison AR 81 64 82 65 / 60 50 60 50 Hot Springs AR 92 66 91 68 / 10 10 20 30 Little Rock AR 91 69 91 70 / 10 10 20 30 Monticello AR 95 69 94 70 / 0 0 10 10 Mount Ida AR 91 66 89 68 / 10 10 30 40 Mountain Home AR 84 65 85 65 / 50 50 60 50 Newport AR 93 68 91 68 / 10 30 40 40 Pine Bluff AR 94 68 93 69 / 0 0 10 20 Russellville AR 92 68 90 68 / 20 20 30 40 Searcy AR 93 67 92 67 / 10 20 30 40 Stuttgart AR 94 69 93 69 / 0 10 20 30
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.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...73 LONG TERM....73 AVIATION...73
NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion