020 FXUS63 KTOP 110515 AFDTOPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 1215 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Small precipitation chances tonight (70% chance) for most locations Friday then continuing into at least the weekend. An upper wave over the Great Basin is displaced northeast into the northern Plains late this weekend. There may be enough forcing this far south for some precipitation but chances continue to be less than 50%. Any cold front with this wave should stay well north of the local area for somewhat above normal temperatures to persist into the mid week on moderate south winds.
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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1213 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
MVFR visibilities overnight as fog attempts to develop at terminals. Incoming high clouds in southern NE could limit the denser fog at KMHK, while most forecast soundings are showing LIFR fog forming aft 09Z. This restriction should mix out by 14Z as southerly winds increase to near 10 kts mid morning into the afternoon.
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.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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DISCUSSION...Poage AVIATION...Prieto
NWS TOP Office Area Forecast Discussion