Hansford, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

112
FXUS61 KRLX 190854
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
454 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and mostly dry weather prevails into the weekend under
high pressure. Potential for rain returns to the forecast next
week. A more active weather pattern sets up by midweek.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1225 AM Friday...
A high pressure system will continue to provide dry weather today
and tonight. Temperatures this afternoon will continue to be
unseasonably warm as well. With some low level dry air in the
soundings, particuarly along the I-64 corridor, lowered
afternoon dewpoints to the lower end of guidance.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 100 AM Friday
Starting Saturday, the area will be under the influence of
modest surface high pressure courtesy of a broad and stout
system over Canada dipping down to provide us with some
protection. We also have upper level ridging which will also
keep us somewhat settled for the day. The only caveat is that
there may be some potential for some diurnal mountain showers
due to the mountains getting into the 80s. Therefore, along with
an elevated heat source and with the help of southeasterly
upslope flow, this will leave slight to chance PoPs in the
forecast along the mountains, approximately 15% to 40%. The rest
of the area should remain dry with lows above normal with
partly to mostly cloudy skies clearing out fairly decently
overnight.
Sunday should be a few degrees cooler with surface high
pressure building in and upper level ridging retreating to the
east. This will allow a small disturbance to possibly affect
southeast Ohio and northeast Kentucky with some potential for
shower and storms, however this will be very hard to initiate
due to dry air being in place. There is some moisture forecast
at the mid levels across that area which will allow for some
potential, but will likely be light in nature unless a storm
develops.
Those aforementioned chances for shower and/or storms will
stick around through Monday as temperatures decrease by a degree
or two however there will still be heating during the daytime
with moisture advecting in from the west. The aforementioned
small disturbance will approach and overspread the area by
Tuesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 100 AM Friday...
From Tuesday on, things become active with a few disturbances
forecast to traverse east over the area and keep chances of
rain or storms on the table for the rest of this period. This
activity will keep moisture in the area with cloudy skies, for
the most part, during this entire period. Temperatures will fall
to below average for this time of year and hover around the
upper 70s by midweek and lasting into the weekend.
With more moisture across the region and light surface flow,
fire danger will not be a threat with rising dewpoints through
the period.
Although the threat for severe weather will likely be limited
we cannot rule out general run of the mill storms with the
potential for possibly some stronger storm activity by midweek
and on as a stronger system with stronger upper level jet
streak support is forecast to impact the area along this time
frame.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 450 AM Friday...
Fog will dissipate early this morning. VFR conditions can then be
expected until some late night river valley fog forms again
tonight. The Elkins airport is the most likely to be affected
by the fog.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High, except medium with fog.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of fog lifting could vary.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE                              FRI 09/19/25
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    L    L    L    L    L    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    L    L    L    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    L    L    M    M    M    M    L    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    L    L    L    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    L    L    M    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 06Z SATURDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions expected.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RPY/JZ
NEAR TERM...RPY
SHORT TERM...JZ
LONG TERM...JZ
AVIATION...RPY

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion