486 FXUS61 KGYX 100530 AFDGYXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 130 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure remains in control of our weather through the rest of the week and into the weekend. Daytime temperatures remain seasonable with fair weather while the overnights will be cool. Another extended stretch of dry weather continues, with mainly dry conditions expected through this weekend. A cut off low pressure center is then possible late this weekend and early next week, but uncertainty on the evolution of this feature remains.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Other than some early morning stratus and fog, today is expected to be another fair weather day with some high clouds possible on the coastal plain due to a far offshore storm. Temperatures continue to be seasonable with highs around seasonable reasonings.
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.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Another cool night with good radiational cooling. However, temps should remain high enough to preclude the development of widespread frost. Another area of high pressure will begin to build in on Thursday continuing our stretch of dry weather.
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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Evening Update...
High pressure continues to bring dry and seasonably cool conditions going into the weekend. By late in the weekend and into early next week there remains uncertainty on the evolution of a possible cut off low pressure center nearby. Any clarity on this system is likely still a couple of days away.
Full Discussion...
In summary, the long-term forecast will be heavily influenced by high pressure and a dry airmass, offering little if any in the way of precipitation chances.
Canadian high pressure builds in with good radiational cooling looking likely for Thursday night. Lows across northern valleys and normally colder spots could reach the mid 30s with frost possible while most other places see temps in the 40s.
The high pressure will stay put and bring dry conditions for Friday and Saturday with cool nights and high temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s. An upper trough will push a cold front toward New England Sunday, but this front will offer little if any in the way of rain chances as the airmass looks quite dry still.
Going into next week, the ECWMF camp is more supportive of cutting off an upper low in the vicinity, which would bring some chances for rain. The GFS side is more progressive with the trough pushing right through and high pressure building back in to keep things dry. The low chances of 20% PoP into early next week will suffice for now due to the uncertainty.
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.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Short Term...Any IFR conditions in the river valleys and also on the coastal plain early this morning will lift allowing for VFR conditions for the vast majority of the day. Valley fog is once again expected tonight leading to VFR conditions Thursday.
Long Term...Mainly VFR conditions expected other than IFR to LIFR nighttime/early morning valley fog at HIE and LEB Thursday through Sunday.
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.MARINE... Short Term...Small craft conditions will be possibly on the waters off the Midcoast Thursday afternoon and evening in northerly flow, but otherwise SCA conditions are not foreseen.
Long Term...SCA conditions are not expected. High pressure builds in Thursday night, and stays in control through Saturday with a front potentially approaching the waters around Sunday. High pressure attempts to return early next week, but some model guidance is hinting at a low pressure somewhere across New England. So the forecast for Sunday into early next week is of lower confidence at this time.
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.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. NH...None. MARINE...None.
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NEAR TERM...Ekster SHORT TERM...Ekster LONG TERM...Clair/Combs
NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion