Hilger, Montana Weather Forecast Discussion

402
FXUS65 KTFX 182048
AFDTFX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
248 PM MDT Thu Sep 18 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry through Saturday.
- Gusty winds expected in North-Central Montana on Sunday with
   the strongest winds along the Rocky Mountain Front.
- There is a low chance for precipitation across Southwest
   Montana Sunday but otherwise the region is expected to remain
   dry over the next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
- Meteorological Overview:
Weak ridging over the next couple days will keep the region warm
and generally dry. An upper level trough arrives early Sunday
morning bringing gusty winds to North-Central Montana,
particularly along the Rocky Mountain Front, and a slight chance
for precipitation primarily across southwest Montana.
Towards the middle of next week upper level ridging builds over
the western CONUS allowing for warmer temperatures and generally
dry conditions to return through the remainder of the work week.
- Forecast Confidence & Scenarios:
Sunday Winds:
Confidence is maintaining in the potential for strong, gusty
winds on Sunday. As it stands, there is high confidence for wind
gusts greater than 35 mph across most of North-Central Montana.
Stronger winds will be found along the Rocky Mountain Front where
there is a broad 60-80% chance of max wind gusts greater than 50
mph and a 50% chance for gusts greater than 60 mph along the wind
prone areas. For cities like Browning and Cut Bank there is a
30-50% chance of wind gusts exceeding 50 mph.
For these locations this event is not expected to exceed high wind
criteria, however, impacts to the public are still a concern.
Strong crosswinds will be a concern along north-south roads,
especially Highway 89 north of Choteau. High profile vehicles and
those towing trailers will be at the greatest risk throughout the
day. Additionally, deciduous trees still have their leaves which
puts them at a greater risk for being impacted by strong wind
gusts. Those recreating outdoors on Sunday, particularly if they
are not used to strong winds, may be caught off guard.
Rain Chances Sunday:
There is around a 30% chance for isolated to scattered showers on
Sunday, primarily across Southwest Montana. In general these
showers are expected to be on the dry side with minimal
accumulation expected. That being said locally higher amounts
cannot be ruled out along the Madison and Gallatin ranges where
there is a 30% chance of amounts greater than 0.10". Additionally
there is a chance for a dusting of snow along the highest peaks of
the Madison and Gallatin ranges early Monday morning but little to
no snow accumulation is expected.  -thor
&&
.AVIATION...
18/18Z TAF Period
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period.
A ridge will keep the area dry and tranquil with little clouds
this afternoon and tonight. -Wilson
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  47  79  48  85 /   0   0   0   0
CTB  44  76  44  83 /   0   0   0   0
HLN  49  79  49  84 /   0   0   0   0
BZN  44  78  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
WYS  32  72  35  73 /   0   0   0   0
DLN  43  76  44  79 /   0   0   0   0
HVR  44  76  47  84 /   0   0   0   0
LWT  44  75  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

NWS TFX Office Area Forecast Discussion