273 FXUS64 KHUN 122237 AFDHUNArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 537 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM... (Tonight) Issued at 206 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Afternoon temps have reached the mid to upper 80s at this hour with daytime Cu across the TN Valley. High pressure in place will keep conditions dry and once the daytime Cu fades with sunset, skies will be mostly clear overnight. With the lack of cloud cover and light/variable winds overnight, could see another round of patchy fog late tonight into early morning hours tomorrow. Otherwise, lows will be near normal in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
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.SHORT TERM... (Saturday through Monday) Issued at 1010 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
By Saturday high pressure at the surface and aloft will begin to nudge into the TN Valley. This will jump start our long stretch of hot and dry weather extending from the short term forecast through the long term. Under high pressure, subsidence will promote mostly clear skies and low rain chances. Temps will subsequently enter a warming trend through the weekend warming from the high 80/ low 90s on Saturday to low to mid 90s by Monday. These temps are about 5-7 degrees above normal for mid September in the TN Valley. Thus, despite being well versed in heat, next week will require some slight adjustments back to summer heat safety for those participating in outdoor activities.
The silver lining of the forecast is that we will remain in northerly flow through this period on the eastern edge of high pressure. This will work to keep higher dew points confined to the Gulf coast leaving us with much lower afternoon humidity and negating any heat advisory concerns as heat indices will mirror the actual temperatures. So while abnormally hot for mid September, will retain some semblance of fall with RH values in the 30-50% range each afternoon.
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.LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 946 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
A mean troughing pattern along the eastern seaboard should continue was we go into the new week. Our location well to the SE of a frontal boundary over the Great Plains will help keep a dry and warm trend going through the middle of next week. Upper ridging positioned just west of the coastal trough should also maintain its location. Thus daily highs for the Mon-Thu time frame should range from the mid/upper 80s in the higher elevations and more eastern locations, with low/mid 90s expected for the lower elevations, especially west of I-65. Low temperatures each night should average in the low/mid 60s.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 538 PM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
VFR flight weather conditions are forecast. Northeast winds of 5-10kt will subside and become variable at 5kt or less after 00Z through Saturday.
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.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. &&
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NEAR TERM...JMS SHORT TERM....RAD LONG TERM....RSB AVIATION...17
NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion