Immokalee, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

068
FXUS62 KMFL 230507
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
107 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 104 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Unsettled weather will continue today and Wednesday as what`s left
of a lingering frontal boundary dissipates today. At the surface,
weak high pressure is over the northeast Gulf and western Atlantic.
Convection today and tomorrow will be sea-breeze driven during the
afternoon and early evening hours, with the highest PoPs focused
over interior and SW FL, although with the easterly flow fairly
weak, portions of the east coast metro will be in play early to mid
afternoon before the focus shifts into the interior late afternoon
into the early. With the weak steering flows in place, can`t count
out an isolated urban flood risk across the metro. Overall dry
conditions are expected overnight with just a few coastal showers or
isolated thunderstorms possible.
Temperatures will be about a degree or so above normal with highs
today and tomorrow ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s, and low
temps from the middle to upper 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 104 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Seasonal conditions are expected Thursday and Friday with convection
both days generally sea-breeze driven during the afternoon and early
evening hours. Things get more interesting this weekend as a trough
dives into the Gulf and a frontal boundary approaches the area and
likely stalls in the vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. At the same time,
a disturbance currently east of the Leeward Island has a medium
chance of development over the next 7 days. While the surface front
and upper level trough should steer any potential development away
from South FL, some peripheral impacts could be possible if there is
any development, so this system is worth watching as the week
progresses. Regardless, the frontal boundary stalling in the
vicinity of Lake Okeechobee will allow the atmosphere locally to
remain fairly saturated which is what forecast soundings show, with
PWAT values generally 2.1-2.3 inches. Expect the unsettled weather
to continue through the remainder of the extended forecast period.
Temperatures will remain slightly above normal through the extended
period with highs each day in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Low temps
will generally range from the lower 70s around the lake, to mid and
upper 70s over the rest of South FL.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Light and variable winds this morning becoming easterly 5-10 kts
this afternoon into early evening, with an afternoon westerly
breeze expected at APF. Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and
early evening may result in brief flight restrictions and erratic
winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 104 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Gentle easterly winds expected over the area waters through mid
week, with brief west to southwesterly winds during the afternoon
over the near shore Gulf waters. Seas in the Atlantic generally 2-3
ft and a foot or less in the Gulf. Scattered thunderstorms today and
Wednesday may result in locally hazardous winds and seas.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 104 AM EDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Lingering NE swell will result in an elevated risk of rip currents
through mid week for the Palm Beaches.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            90  78  91  78 /  70  20  60  30
West Kendall     90  76  91  77 /  70  20  60  20
Opa-Locka        91  78  91  78 /  70  20  60  20
Homestead        89  77  90  77 /  70  20  60  30
Fort Lauderdale  89  78  90  77 /  70  20  50  30
N Ft Lauderdale  90  78  90  78 /  70  20  50  20
Pembroke Pines   92  78  93  78 /  70  20  60  20
West Palm Beach  90  77  90  77 /  70  20  50  20
Boca Raton       90  77  91  77 /  70  20  50  20
Naples           90  76  91  77 /  70  20  50  20
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF

NWS MFL Office Area Forecast Discussion