Inda, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

522
FXUS64 KMOB 091116
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
616 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A weak upper trough will linger across the southeast US through
the week. By Thursday, the trough begins to amplify, digging
further southeast as it moves into the western Atlantic. The base
of this trough may dig as far south as the Florida Peninsula by
this weekend. This trough should start to lift back to the north
by the start of next week. At the surface, a frontal boundary
remains stalled over the central Gulf, with a weak surface low
forming along it southwest of Tampa. This low is expected to
meander around the eastern Gulf over the next 24 hours before
dissipating. Meanwhile, high pressure to our north has anchored
itself over the Appalachians. These two features allowed for winds
to turn more northeasterly to easterly, which is helping to
advect moisture back into the area. This increase in moisture may
help to spark off a few isolated showers and storms along coastal
counties and into southeast Mississippi late this morning into
this afternoon.
By Wednesday, drier air is expected to filter back in from the
northeast as another cold air damming event sets up across the
southeast US. This will likely not result in cooler temperatures for
our area, but we could see dewpoints drop once again into the 50s
across much of the area, especially as we get to Thursday and
Friday. Although dew points will slowly increase through the weekend
and into early next week, we are not anticipating any rain through
the remainder of the period. Highs through the period will generally
be in the upper 80s to low 90s and lows will range from the low to
mid 60s inland to the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. A High
Risk of rip currents will be in place through Wednesday, lowering to
a Moderate Risk for Wednesday night into Thursday. A Low Risk
returns for Thursday night and through the remainder of the week.
/96
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
VFR conditions expected over most of the forecast area through the
forecast. Local drops in conditions to low/mid MVFR levels due to
isolated rain showers developing near the coast are expected into
this morning as a weakly organized surface low develops over the
northern Gulf. This convection is expected to be a non-issue by
18z. Northeast to easterly winds around 10 knots expected through
the forecast.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Moderate to strong northeasterly to easterly winds will
continue through Thursday. The Small Craft Advisory has been
extended through 1pm Wednesday for our local Gulf waters. Exercise
Caution headlines will also be in place for local area bays and
sounds. A light to moderate diurnal pattern follows for Friday and
into the weekend. /96
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion