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Inverness, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

747
FXUS62 KTBW 191426
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025

Drier air in place will keep only a 20 percent chance of showers across the southern zones later this afternoon. NE flow will mainly be in place across the area with a turn to the north in the afternoon along the coast as a weak sea breeze develops. Highs are on track to reach into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Have no updates planned. Drier conditions continue through the weekend, then moisture returns across the area for next week.

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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025

Light NE flow increases through the afternoon to 8-10 knots, then becoming more N/NW as a weak sea breeze develops near the coast. A stray shower may be possible across the southern terminals later this afternoon, but chances are so low that have left it out of the forecast. Winds become light and return to the NE for the overnight hours, with SCT clouds clearing. VFR conditions prevail.

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.MARINE... Issued at 1026 AM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025

Generally NE flow will be in place across the coastal waters through much of the period, becoming a bit more easterly by the end of the period, and with an afternoon turn to the N/NW along the coast as a weak sea breeze develops. Wind speeds will remain generally 10-15kts or less through the period with dry conditions continuing through the weekend. Current forecast is on track and have little change for the update.

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 92 75 92 75 / 0 0 10 0 FMY 92 73 92 74 / 20 10 20 10 GIF 92 73 92 73 / 10 0 20 0 SRQ 91 73 91 73 / 10 0 10 10 BKV 92 68 92 69 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 89 76 90 75 / 0 0 10 10

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Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 3

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

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.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None.

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DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Carlisle

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion

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