Jamestown, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

210
FXUS64 KOHX 112349
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
649 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 646 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
- Overall dry pattern continues through the forecast period.
- Highs in the 90s starting tomorrow and continuing into next
  week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
An upper level ridge is building to our west with a short wave
trough digging over TN. The forcing overall will be weak with this
trough but with some afternoon instability we will see a low
chance for some hit and miss showers and isolated thunderstorms
this afternoon. The highest chances (up to 20%) will be south of
I-40 and west of I-65. Anything that does develop will have to
fight dry air at the low levels and overall won`t produce much
rain. Highs this afternoon will range from the mid 80s to lower
90s. We clear out overnight with lows falling into the mid 50s to
lower 60s. The HREF is giving a 30-50% chances of patchy dense fog
for areas mainly south and west of Nashville tonight and that
does seem reasonable.
Higher heights will start to build over TN on Friday as the upper
level ridge slowly pushes east. This will bring dry conditions
with highs once again in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
We will remain in a quiet and dry weather pattern as we head in to
the long term portion of the forecast. The upper level ridge will
continue to push east and we will be under the APEX of it over the
weekend into next week. This will bring warming temperatures over
the weekend with widespread low 90s by Sunday. The warming
continues next week with highs pushing into the upper 80s to mid
90s. Monday will likely be the hottest day in the period but the
days leading up to Monday and the days after won`t be a ton
cooler. Towards the end of next week the upper level ridge will
start to flatten and that will bring some slight cooling.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025
VFR conditions will continue this TAF cycle with light, mainly
northeast winds. The exception to VFR will be overnight fog at
CSV and SRB with mainly MVFR vsbys from 06Z-12Z and some brief
periods of IFR.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  91  62  92 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    61  93  60  94 /  10   0   0   0
Crossville     56  81  54  83 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       62  89  59  91 /  10   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  83  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
Jamestown      56  82  56  83 /  10   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   60  88  58  89 /  10   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   61  89  59  90 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        62  91  62  92 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....13

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion