Knott, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

674
FXUS64 KMAF 011703
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1203 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1203 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather conditions will
  continue across the region through early next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
An upper-level ridge will gradually build across west Texas and
southeast New Mexico through Thursday afternoon while surface
troughing continues to take shape in the lee of the Rockies. Dry
weather conditions will prevail through Thursday underneath mostly
clear skies. High temperatures will trend warmer today and
Thursday with afternoon readings mostly ranging from the mid 80s
to lower 90s across the area, except for highs in the mid 90s to
around 100 degrees along the Rio Grande. Overnight lows will range
in the mid 50s to mid 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
The upper-level ridge axis will continue to extend across west
Texas and southeast New Mexico on Friday before weakening on
Saturday as the next longwave trough deepens over much of the
western CONUS. Southwesterly flow aloft will return to our
forecast area through the weekend ahead of the trough, but deep
layer moisture remains very limited, so dry weather conditions are
forecast to continue through Sunday. The upper-level trough looks
to remain oriented from the northern Rockies/Intermountain West to
California during the early part of next week, while upper-level
ridging tends to build westward across much of the state of Texas.
Medium range model trends do show a slight increase in moisture
across portions of our forecast area by the early part of next
week when upslope flow could at least bring back a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms to our higher terrain areas by
Tuesday, but we overall anticipate dry conditions to persist over
the majority of our area through early next week. Temperatures are
expected to average several degrees above normal through the
extended forecast period, with highs each day mostly ranging in
the mid 80s to lower 90s with early morning lows in the upper 50s
to mid 60s over most places.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR conditions expected throughout TAF period with near zero
probability of rain and mostly clear to clear skies at all
terminals. Light southerly winds at most terminals throughout
period, backing to northerly 12Z-16Z Thursday for CNM.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               63  93  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 61  92  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   64  93  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            65  92  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           62  82  61  80 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    60  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    55  84  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     64  93  65  91 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   65  92  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     62  92  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...94

NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion