Lakeside, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

848
FXUS63 KSGF 271627
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1127 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather into next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Analysis and current conditions: Upper level analysis and water
vapor imagery show a trough shifting into the southeast U.S.,
upper ridging over the southern into central plains and a nearly
stationary low over southern CA. The main polar jet was located
across southern Canada with a shortwave pushing east across
the province of Manitoba. At the surface, high pressure was
centered over the region behind the cold front which has shifted
well south into the Gulf. Temperatures over the CWA were in the
upper 50s to low 60s with dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s.
Short term forecast through Saturday night: Similar to last
night, there may be some fog that develops in the river valleys
and lakes, but most places should remain clear, with some
possible high cirrus streaming in from the west. Could see some
cumulus develop during the afternoon, but otherwise should be
sunny again with highs in the low to mid 80s. Lows tonight will
be a bit warmer than Friday night in the mid 50s to low 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 211 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
The upper level ridge axis will build over the area on Sunday
with surface high pressure remaining over the area. The
California upper low will begin to lift northeast into the
Rockies as a storm system begins to push into the west coast
Sunday night into Monday. The energy associated with the
California low will stay to our west over the rockies and plains
and we should remain dry through the 7 day period as upper level
ridging remains over the area.
Temperatures will be warm in the low to mid 80s (normals for
this time of year are in the mid 70s).
8 to 14 day outlook continues the favoring of above normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation for the area which
goes through October 10th. Ensemble temperature anomalies
continue to show around 4 to 6 degrees above normal during this
time frame.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1125 AM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Confidence is high that VFR conditions will prevail through the
forecast period with a few passing high clouds at times. Winds
will remain light and variable however a slight westerly
component should occur this afternoon and evening with speeds
less than 10kts. Patchy fog will occur again tonight however it
should remain away from the TAF sites and mainly in low lying
areas.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Burchfield

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion