Little America, Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

959
FXUS63 KILX 050706
AFDILX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
206 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An Elevated Fire Risk is in place along and north of a
  Jacksonville to Danville line today. Burning is highly
  discouraged due to dry fuels, low relative humidity values, and
  southerly winds gusting over 20mph.
- A cold front will bring showers and a few thunderstorms to
  central Illinois Monday into Tuesday night. Significant drought
  improvement is not expected.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
As we sit in between the high and low pressure systems, the strong
pressure gradient will cause stronger wind gusts again today. Today
there is a 30-60% chance of wind gusts greater than 30 mph west of I-
55. Wind gusts around 20-25 mph areawide the whole day are likely.
These higher wind gusts could cause some blowing dust, limiting
visibilities locally, where fields are being harvested.
Enhanced fire danger is expected again today due to these breezier
winds and low RHs. RH values bottom out around 25-35%. The SPC
has north of I-72 outlooked on day 1 of the Fire Weather outlook
for enhanced fire danger. Use caution with anything that could
ignite a fire and be mindful of the burn bans already in place.
Burning is highly discouraged again today. Field fires, as we have
seen the last few days, are a possibility today from the hot farm
equipment as harvesting activities continue.
A cold front will move through the forecast area Monday into
Tuesday, bringing chances for rain and cooler temperatures. The
strong southerly winds will help moisture return as we go into
Monday. The moisture return will influence some showers and
thunderstorms Monday (20-40% chance), ahead of the cold front.
Tuesday, there is a 60-80% chance of showers and thunderstorms with
the passage of the cold front. QPF is showing 0.5-1 inch south of I-
70 and less than 0.5 inch north of I-70. Some locally higher amounts
are possible where a heftier thunderstorm may pass through.
Highs will continue to be in the upper 80s to near 90 through
Monday. Normal for this time of the year is in the low 70s for
highs. Behind the cold front Tuesday, temperatures will cool into
the low to mid 70s for highs before warming back into the low 80s
for the weekend. Wednesday will be the coolest day we have seen in
quite awhile, with highs in the low 70s and lows in the 40s.
Copple
&&
.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
South winds will increase to around 10 knots by 14Z and gust 20-25
knots through the afternoon, before gusts drop off again with
sunset. VFR conditions to continue with just some passing high
clouds.
Geelhart
&&
.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS ILX Office Area Forecast Discussion