Lone Grove, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

020
FXUS64 KOUN 292314
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
614 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 555 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions to persist
   through the coming week.
-  Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday night and
   early Sunday across northern Oklahoma.
- Low chance for a pattern change early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Besides scattered cumulus this afternoon, will see increasing
mid/high-level cloud-cover over western Oklahoma and western north
Texas as the moist side of an approaching upper wave moves into
the panhandles. This trough will progress slowly, but will see broken
to overcast skies reach central Oklahoma this evening with mid/high-
level clouds remaining over the area tonight. Still expect above-
average temperatures to top out in the 80`s. As mentioned in the
previous AFD, chances for measurable rainfall tonight are extremely
low due to the deep/dry sub-cloud layer. Still, a few sprinkles
are possible as the upper wave draws closer. Overnight low temperatures
will be several degrees warmer due to cloudy skies and decrease
mainly into the 60`s.
Thompson
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The upper wave will track across the FA on Tuesday and reach eastern
Oklahoma by Tuesday evening as a shortwave ridge moves in from
the west. This will prompt mid-level height rises and skies will
clear from west to east throughout the day. Above-average temperatures
and dry conditions continue through the short term. Parts of southwest
Oklahoma and western north Texas will be hot, with highs in the
low-90`s on Wednesday.
Thompson
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1234 are AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
The mid and upper ridge will be the primary weather feature Thursday
into most of Friday.  Therefore, afternoon highs will be in the
upper 80s to lower 90s each day with dry conditions.  By late
Friday, a southerly wind may begin to increase some as a trough
begins to move across the Inter-Mountain West. Late Saturday into
Sunday this trough will move across central parts of the country,
but may deamplify as it does. For now will add a low chance (20
percent) of showers and thunderstorms across the northern third of
Oklahoma for mainly Saturday night and early Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions to continue.
Abundant mid/high clouds expected overnight and through the
morning hours on Tuesday before a gradual decrease by tomorrow
afternoon. Expect to see some daytime cu by midday. Winds will
remain light from the southeast.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  65  85  62  86 /  10   0   0   0
Hobart OK         64  87  61  89 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  65  87  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           61  84  61  87 /   0   0  10  10
Ponca City OK     64  85  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         65  87  61  88 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...30

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion