Lorena, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

348
FXUS64 KFWD 120538
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1238 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot but tranquil weather conditions will continue through next
  week with afternoon highs in lower to mid 90s.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Saturday/
Above-normal temperatures will be the main weather story through
the weekend as a strong mid/upper ridge remains planted over Texas
and the Southern Plains. Highs in the mid 90s with lows in the
70s will be 5 or so degrees above normal for mid September. A
surface ridge situated to our east will keep winds out of the
south to southeast at 5 to 10 MPH. Little to no clouds will be
present, but a thin layer of smoke aloft originating from numerous
wildfires across the western U.S. will make for picturesque
sunsets and sunrises.
30
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Next Week/
The ridge will weaken slightly on Sunday as a shortwave trough
lifts northeast from the Four Corners into the Central Plains.
Southwest flow and the resulting capping inversion should shut
down any convective attempts across North and Central Texas,
though isolated storms may approach the Big Country Sunday
afternoon before dissipating. High clouds may also knock a degree
or two off Sunday afternoon temperatures. The ridge will re-
strengthen on Monday, keeping hot and dry conditions in place
through at least the middle of next week. The ridge will retreat
southwest late next week as an upper low drops southeast through
the Plains. The resulting northwest flow aloft may eventually
bring some low rain chances next weekend, otherwise seasonably hot
weather can be expected.
30
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/
South winds of 5 to 10 kt will continue as surface high pressure
remains anchored over the MS Valley. Ridging aloft will otherwise
provide VFR and overall quiet aviation weather across the board.
30
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    75  94  74  94  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                72  93  72  92  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               71  92  72  91  69 /   0   0   0   5   0
Denton              71  94  72  94  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            72  94  72  94  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              75  94  76  94  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             72  93  72  92  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           72  94  72  93  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              69  94  69  91  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       69  94  69  94  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion