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Lyles, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

260
FXUS64 KOHX 181048
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 548 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 546 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

- Above normal temperatures continue, especially daytime highs which will be in the 80s to lower 90s through the weekend.

- Little to no rain through the weekend, better chances for scattered rainfall next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1125 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

Through the week we have been sitting between a big ridge axis over the Plains and Ms Valley and an upper trough along the east coast. The ridge has given us warm temperatures while the trough has provided a couple of weak disturbances with brief, localized showers and storms. Low level northerly flow between these systems has kept humidity levels tolerable, allowing temps to cool off near normal levels at night.

The ridge will be our main wx system the next few days as it gradually moves eastward and sets up overhead. Dry conditions are expected Thursday and Friday with the warmest days of this warm spell, including mid 90s some areas.

Overnight hours will continue to cool off nicely. Some patchy fog will form, mainly Plateau and across our southern areas where humidity levels are slightly higher.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1125 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025

For this weekend, the NBM is painting a continued warm and dry forecast under the ridge. But, some models are showing a little weakening of the ridge with very small chances for isolated showers Saturday PM and Sunday. Something to keep in mind as a possibility, but nothing to be excited about.

Greater height falls will come Monday through Thursday as the upper level pattern begins to change. This more "troughy" pattern will ease high temps down into the 80s (still above normal). It will also bring greater chances for scattered showers and a few storms, but no widespread soaking rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 546 AM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

Some patchy fog lingers throughout the Plateau, but mostly away from relevant terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions prevail today with light and somewhat variable winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 94 64 94 66 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 95 63 94 64 / 0 0 0 10 Crossville 83 57 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 92 61 93 64 / 0 0 0 10 Cookeville 86 61 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 84 60 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 90 61 92 63 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 91 61 93 64 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 93 65 94 64 / 0 0 0 10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...13 LONG TERM....13 AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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