Morven, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

256
FXUS62 KTAE 090754
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
354 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...
.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A stationary front draped offshore will again be the main focus for
afternoon showers and storms today. Further inland, dry and warm
conditions are forecast to persist with highs in the 80s and lows in
the mid 60s to low 70s. Overall, a fairly pleasant day is on tap for
the region. Enjoy!
&&
.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 235 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
The stationary boundary to our south continues it`s gradual
equatorward push as surface high pressure to our north continues to
move southeastward. Wednesday will be the last day with reasonable
rain chances across the FL Big Bend. After Wednesday the stationary
boundary provides little to no support for showers and/or storms as
high pressure starts to build overhead. PoP chances drop to near nil
heading into the weekend and the early part of next week. A drop in
dew points into the 50 and low 60s Thursday and beyond will lead to
mostly clear skies and good radiational cooling conditions
overnight. Likewise, daytime high temps will also creep back up into
the low 90s.
Expect daytime highs generally in the upper 80s to low 90s with
overnight lows generally in the 60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 124 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A few hours of MVFR ceilings may be possible in the morning, but
confidence is too low to include in the taf for now. Otherwise,
VFR conditions are expected.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 235 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Persistent northeast flow over the next several days with high
pressure situated northeast of the waters and a stalled frontal
boundary/low pressure to the south over the Gulf. The pressure
gradient between these features will tighten at times, leading to
winds around 20 to 25 knots and seas ranging from 3 to 7 feet thru
Wednesday. The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect thru early
Wednesday afternoon. Conditions gradually improve on Thursday where
they drop down to Cautionary, then below Cautionary heading into the
weekend.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 235 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Breezy northeast transport winds are expected for the next several
days with mixing heights getting increasingly higher each afternoon.
This will lead to pockets of high dispersions each day with higher
confidence and more widespread coverage of high dispersions each
subsequent day. Warm and dry conditions are expected for most of the
area, however RH values should remain above critical thresholds.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 235 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Little in the way of rainfall is expected through the next week.
There are currently no flooding concerns.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   85  70  87  67 /  30  20  10  10
Panama City   87  72  90  70 /  30  10  10  10
Dothan        85  66  87  63 /  10   0   0   0
Albany        86  65  87  63 /  10  10   0   0
Valdosta      84  68  87  66 /  30  10  10  10
Cross City    84  71  85  69 /  70  30  50  10
Apalachicola  84  73  85  73 /  50  30  30  20
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Wednesday for GMZ730-765.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ Wednesday for
     GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...Merrifield
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Oliver

NWS TAE Office Area Forecast Discussion