Motley, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

011
FXUS64 KBMX 061755
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1255 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
A shortwave impulse along with a surface front is producing
scattered showers and thunderstorms across central Alabama as of
midday. This activity will continue to move eastward through the
afternoon. Weak to moderate instability alongside bulk shear
upwards of 25 knots may support a couple strong, but short-lived,
storms. Activity should decrease in coverage toward early evening
due to the progression of the system and waning diurnal
enhancements.
89^GSatterwhite
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
As the parent trough over the Great Lakes pulls away, the front is
forecast to become slow-moving or stall to our south and southeast,
generally in the vicinity of the immediate Gulf and Atlantic
coast. Post-frontal flow will provide us with a bit less-humid
air and seasonable temperatures through the week. Rain-free
weather also looks to prevail for central Alabama, with showers
and thunderstorms favoring an axis from the Gulf to western
Atlantic near the front.
89^GSatterwhite
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1255 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are ongoing as of 12:55
pm/17:55z and could directly affect central Alabama terminals
through sunset depending on location. VFR clouds linger tonight as
a frontal system continues to move across the region. A clear sky
is forecast for Sunday with a northerly breeze.
89^GSatterwhite
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
After a round of scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon, rain-free weather is forecast to prevail across
central Alabama through next week. While drier, post-frontal air
will overspread the region, afternoon minimum RHs are currently
forecast to average above critical thresholds; however, if dew
points trend slightly lower mid to late week, RHs could bottom
out just below currently forecast minimums in the lower 30s.
20-foot winds will be northerly around 10 mph on Sunday and then
northeast to east between 5-10 mph Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     62  82  59  84 /  10   0   0   0
Anniston    64  82  60  82 /  10   0   0  10
Birmingham  64  83  60  85 /  10   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  65  85  59  86 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      65  85  61  86 /  10   0   0  10
Auburn      68  85  65  82 /  20  10   0  10
Montgomery  69  87  63  86 /  10  10   0  10
Troy        68  87  64  85 /  20  10   0  20
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...89^GSatterwhite
LONG TERM....89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION...89^GSatterwhite

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion