Mount Hebron, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

152
FXUS64 KBMX 080522
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1222 AM CDT Mon Sep 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
At this time, a surface ridge is situated across ERN Conus. By
Monday evening, this ridge will shift to become more NE to SW
elongated with NE-ENE low level flow into C AL. In the upper levels,
broad troughing across ERN Conus will become flattened as the main
low over ERN Canada pushes EWD. Across AL and much of the Gulf
Coast, the flow will be very weak. Rain free conditions will persist
through the short term. Look for some minor variations with the
high temperatures for Monday. We could see slightly higher max
readings in the far north along with a few with slightly lower
readings in the far S. Overnight lows for Monday night should be a
tad milder as our flow becomes more ERLY. Tuesday will see more
minor fluctuations, but overall highs should still be in the 80s.
08
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
Guidance continues to indicate a rain free pattern for the
extended. ERN Conus ridging will remain the dominant feature
through the week. In the upper levels, weak flow/troughing will
be present across the Deep South for mid week, but with only very
meager moisture available. As we head into the end of the week
and next weekend, upper ridging spreads across the Central US
from W TX with weak NRLY flow into AL and dry conditions. High
temperatures slowly moderate upward through the extended. However,
overnight lows should rebound nicely with the overall dry
conditions.
08
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT MON SEP 8 2025
While most terminals are anticipated to remain in VFR category
for the entire TAF period, there is some indication that MVFR CIGS
could work in closer to 08/10z. However, confidence was only high
enough to introduce this at KAUO.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Rain free weather is forecast to prevail across Central Alabama
for the upcoming week with surface ridging in place. Afternoon
minimum RHs are currently forecast to average above critical
thresholds. However, if dew points trend slightly lower mid to
late week, RHs could bottom out just below currently forecast
minimums in the lower 30s. 20 foot winds will be northeast to
east between 5-10 mph Monday and Tuesday. 20 foot winds become
lighter as the week progresses.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     83  60  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    82  61  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  84  64  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  86  65  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      85  64  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      82  64  83  63 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  85  66  86  65 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        84  66  83  65 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion