Mount Olive, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

205
FXUS64 KBMX 100011
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
711 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 711 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
Tranquil conditions are on tap for the rest of the evening through
the overnight hours tonight. The boundary layer still remains
fairly mixed as we approach 7pm with surface winds observed in
most locations between 5 and 10 knots from the east and northeast.
We`ll gradually see the boundary layer decouple overnight with
winds becoming calm or variable. Good radiational cooling with
drier air still advecting in from the east will allow temperatures
to fall into the lower 60s and upper 50s areawide. Counties along
the U.S. Highway 278 corridor from Marion eastward to Cherokee
will likely see locations down into the mid 50s by sunrise
Wednesday morning. Gadsden dropped to 56 this morning while
Haleyville recorded 57, so I don`t see a reason to not go at or
just below those numbers for tonight`s overnight lows with clear
skies areawide.
Surface high pressure will continue to persist to our northeast
over the Appalachians with dry easterly flow continuing. Winds
aloft will shift from the north to northwest between 700-500mb as
an upper level trough axis swings across the eastern CONUS. We
could see a few more high cirrus clouds as a result, but otherwise
scattered cumulus and dry conditions are all we`re expecting
across Central Alabama during the day on Wednesday. Upper level
height rises combined with increased low-level thickness values
and the already present dry air mass will lead to warmer afternoon
highs topping out in the mid to upper 80s.
56/GDG
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1208 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
Little change is expected in the sensible weather through the
weekend and into early next week. The trough over the Eastern CONUS
shifts eastward slightly with broad ridging building in by Friday.
This ridge will persist through the weekend and with the increased
subsidence and dry air mass, daytime highs will trend upward into
the low 90s by Sunday and Monday.
25/Owen
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 PM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.
Easterly to northeasterly surface winds around 5 knots will
persist early this evening, becoming calm or variable overnight.
Winds on Wednesday will remain fairly light, between 5 and 10
knots.
56/GDG
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
The dry weather pattern will continue through the end of the week.
Min RHs will drop into the 30% range for most of the area by
Wednesday and will persist through the end of the week. The center
of the high pressure will build overhead over the weekend, leading
to slightly higher daytime highs. This will result in MinRHs
dropping into the 25-30% range for many locations on Saturday. Winds
should remain generally light with occasional gusts with daytime
mixing.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     55  86  60  90 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    58  85  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  61  87  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  63  89  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      61  87  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      61  85  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  62  87  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        62  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...56/GDG
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...56/GDG

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion