Pear Valley, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

696
FXUS64 KSJT 200636
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
136 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Chances for showers and thunderstorms this weekend into
  the first half of next week.
- Temperatures trend hotter this weekend into Monday, then
  should be cooler by Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Quiet weather will persist in the short term. May see an isolated
shower develop in the Big Country this afternoon but most areas
will remain dry. On Saturday, a weak upper level disturbance
tracking across north Texas may result in an isolated shower or
thunderstorm in the afternoon mainly north of the I-20 corridor.
Otherwise, highs will be in the lower to mid 90s under partly
cloudy skies. Morning lows will be in the 60s and lower 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 125 AM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
An embedded disturbance will move across northern Texas on
Sunday. This may be enough to support a low chance for an isolated
rain shower or thunderstorm through Sunday. Thunderstorm chances
(20-30%) will largely be limited to areas near the I-20 corridor
and northward given the track of this disturbance.
By Tuesday and Wednesday, both the GFS and the ECMWF indicate a
low pressure system developing across the Plains. The GFS and
ECMWF are showing a similar solution tracking the low across
Kansas, which is a bit further north than yesterday`s model runs.
Regardless, we may see a weak cold frontal boundary move into the
area on Tuesday night into Wednesday because of this system. This
frontal boundary will serve as a focal point for scattered
thunderstorms (30% chance) across our area as it moves through.
Slightly cooler temperatures will also result, but highs will
still remain in the middle to upper 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Expect VFR conditions the next 24 hours at the terminals. The wind
will be from the south and a little gusty Saturday afternoon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     94  71  96  73 /  20  10  20  10
San Angelo  92  68  94  71 /  10  10  10  10
Junction    93  67  93  69 /  10   0  10  10
Brownwood   93  67  94  70 /  10  10  20  10
Sweetwater  94  71  97  72 /  10  10  20  10
Ozona       91  68  92  70 /  10  10  10   0
Brady       91  67  92  70 /  10   0  10  10
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...21

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion