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Rangerville, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

078
FXUS64 KBRO 190345
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1045 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1005 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

Daily rain chances are expected to continue into next week as persistent tropical moisture remains in place across Deep South Texas. A series of upper level disturbances and the daily afternoon sea breeze will likely provide the forcing necessary to support isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms periodically through the period.

Short term HiRes guidance depicts another round of convection developing along the coast early Friday morning moving offshore after sunrise. An additional round of convection will likely develop late morning through the afternoon as the sea breeze front moves inland. The best rain chances (30-50%) look be contained to the Rio Grande Valley, with a 15-30% chance of rain across the northern counties.

High temperatures look to remain in the 90s through the period, with overnight lows largely remaining in the low to mid 70s. Western portions of the CWA may see low temperatures dip into the upper 60s tonight and Friday night.

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 645 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

Predominantly VFR conditions are expected to continue through the period, though additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms may briefly produce MVFR to IFR conditions. HiRes models depict another round of isolated showers moving through the area overnight. Overall, confidence is low for any of these showers impacting a TAF site, though probabilities are slightly higher at BRO. Isolated to scattered convection will become more likely through the late morning and into the afternoon, though the probability impacts at any of the airfields will still remain low.

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1005 PM CDT Thu Sep 18 2025

Generally favorable marine conditions are expected to continue through the period. Daily rain chances will persist through the period, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible over the Gulf waters. Light to moderate onshore winds and slight to moderate seas are expected to continue through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 90 76 90 76 / 70 40 50 30 HARLINGEN 91 72 92 71 / 60 20 40 10 MCALLEN 94 76 95 76 / 60 30 40 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 93 73 96 72 / 60 20 40 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 87 81 87 81 / 70 40 40 40 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 89 76 89 75 / 60 30 40 20

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...60-BE LONG TERM....60-BE AVIATION...60

NWS BRO Office Area Forecast Discussion

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