Ransom Canyon, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

008
FXUS64 KLUB 291101
AFDLUB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
601 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 601 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Slight chances for showers over the far two western column of
   counties through late morning.
- Hot temperatures and dry conditions expected the rest of the
   week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Current radar imagery shows some lingering showers southwest of the
CWA. Slight chance for these showers to sneak into our CWA will
remain through late morning hours for our two farthest west column
of counties. The upper low over the Desert Southwest has finally
opened up into a negatively tilted trough and will gradually track
east over the Central and High Plains through today. As the trough
approaches the region, height and thickness falls as well as mostly
cloudy skies will cool temperatures even more compared to yesterday.
Highs will range from the upper 70s over much of the Caprock to
lower to mid 80s off the Caprock. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible over eastern NM this evening, however are not expected to
reach our FA. Mostly cloudy skies are expected to linger through the
evening, however should clear from west to east overnight. Lows
tonight will be about seasonal normal in the 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Sadly, the cooler temperatures from Sunday and Monday do not
continue for the rest of the week. The upper trough will continue to
trek east Tuesday and Wednesday as upper ridging builds over
southwestern CONUS and northern Mexico with the northeastern zone of
the ridge clipping our region. Models are in better agreement with
the upper level pattern for the latter half of the week. An upper
low will open as it swings over the Pacific Northwest and amplify
over the Desert Southwest through the end of the week. This will
inevitably push the upper ridging directly over the region. The
upper ridging will keep precipitation chances near zero as well as
temperatures are expected to increase to well above seasonal normal
(~10-15 degrees) as heights and thicknesses increase. Temperatures
will slightly cool again by the weekend as the upper trough
effectively squishes the upper ridging as it continues to track east
over the region although conditions will remain dry.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 601 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions will prevail.
&&
.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...51

NWS LUB Office Area Forecast Discussion