456 FXUS65 KRIW 061709 AFDRIWArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Riverton WY 1109 AM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Decreasing clouds today with still chilly temperatures.
- Clear skies overnight tonight will bring most areas near or below freezing, with more Warnings expected.
- Moderating conditions through the rest of the week, with temperatures back to near or above normal by Wednesday.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 212 AM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
The remaining trough axis continues to drift southward today, but will still be producing some light precip across central WY through around noon today. As the trough axis moves south, it will allow northerly flow aloft to begin to carve out the low clouds across the state. Most areas should be nearly clear by late this afternoon. With the core of the coldest temps with this system still in the vicinity, temperatures will struggle to reach back into the 50s this afternoon. With clear skies tonight, another round of freezing temperatures is expected across all of western and central WY.
Behind this trough, a large ridge builds across the Intermountain West, paired against a large cutoff low settling just off the PacNW Coast. This should keep the weather more tranquil for the latter half of the week, allowing temps to recover back to near to just above normal in the 60s to near 70.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1108 AM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025
The main consideration through the period is fog and low clouds. To start the period, low clouds (MVFR and IFR) are dissipating and should either be gone to start the period, or will dissipate in the first few hours. A clear sky and light winds are expected through the remainder of the period. There is the chance for fog development again tonight. Confidence is low at this time, but have included some VCFG and FEW008 groups to indicate the potential. Models struggled with the fog this morning, so they are probably not capturing the potential tonight well either.
Please see the Aviation Weather Center and/or CWSU ZDV and ZLC for the latest information on icing and turbulence forecasts.
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.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Freeze Watch from late tonight through Tuesday morning for WYZ003>006-010-011-017>020-028>030.
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DISCUSSION...Straub AVIATION...Wittmann
NWS riw Office Area Forecast Discussion